Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Jared Dubin· Sep 21, 2026

Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.

But I'm going to lean on the preseason priors for a little while longer and take L.A. to win.

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 score predictions and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 3 have settled, averaging 73.8 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The game in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams 17 — Giants 16

    Pick (if Nacua sits): Rams 17, Giants 16

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.19
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 17

    Pick (if Nacua plays): Rams 27, Giants 17.

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 50+41.57 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    41.57
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    0.19
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to beat Giants

    But I'm going to lean on the preseason priors for a little while longer and take L.A. to win.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    6-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    17

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.