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Daniel Wade· Apr 13, 2026

In a trade-back mock draft, Wade has the Chargers deal pick 22 to Miami and select edge rusher Cassius Howell at 30, guard Keelan Rutledge at 55, cornerback Malik Muhammad at 86, wide receiver Brennan Thompson at 87, linebacker Keyshawn Elliott at 123, and offensive tackle Travis Burke at 151.

“And with pick 30, we ended up going with an edge rusher we haven't talked about yet. Cassius Howell, the explosive Texas a and m edge rusher.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chargers (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 33.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
55They said
26What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mock Draft PicksKeylan RutledgeLos Angeles ChargersApr 13, 2026

    Keylan Rutledge to be picked at number 55

    “But round two, pick 55 is a guy that we've talked about before... One of my favorite players in the draft, Georgia Tech guard, Keelan Rutledge”

    Miss · 28Scored 28.47 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Keylan Rutledge
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    28.47
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    28.47
    predicted pick:
    55
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksCashius HowellLos Angeles ChargersApr 13, 2026

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 30

    “And with pick 30, we ended up going with an edge rusher we haven't talked about yet. Cassius Howell, the explosive Texas a and m edge rusher.”

    Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksMalik MuhammadLos Angeles ChargersApr 13, 2026

    Malik Muhammad to be picked at number 86

    “Now at pick 86 for the Chargers... We ended up going with cornerback, and then we ended up going with Malik Muhammad, the cornerback from Texas”

    Miss · 19Scored 19.28 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Malik Muhammad
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    19.28
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    124
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    19.28
    predicted pick:
    86
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksKeylan RutledgeApr 13, 2026

    Keylan Rutledge to be picked “second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    “it's the guy that was a a third round pick at one point. Now will likely be a second round pick”

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Keylan Rutledge
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    second round pick (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksTravis BurkeLos Angeles ChargersApr 13, 2026

    Travis Burke to be picked at number 151

    “But round five, pick one fifty one... I ended up going with the swing tackle... with Travis Burke, the Memphis OT”

    Miss · 23Scored 22.93 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Travis Burke
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    22.93
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    117
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    22.93
    predicted pick:
    151
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksBrenen ThompsonLos Angeles ChargersApr 13, 2026

    Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 87

    “we have the Dolphins eighty seventh overall pick in the third round... the guy I ended up landing on was Brennan Thompson. And this is a wide receiver from Mississippi State.”

    Close · 46Scored 45.85 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Brenen Thompson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    45.85
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    105
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    45.85
    predicted pick:
    87
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksJeremiah SmithApr 13, 2026

    Jeremiah Smith to be picked “top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    “the one he was playing against Jeremiah Smith who was, you know, probably gonna be a top five pick next season”

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Jeremiah Smith
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    top five pick (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksKeyshaun ElliottLos Angeles ChargersApr 13, 2026

    Keyshaun Elliott to be picked at number 123

    “where I ended up going in round four with the chargers' hundred and twenty third pick was Arizona State linebacker key, Keyshawn Elliott”

    Miss · 16Scored 15.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    32.86
    player:
    Keyshaun Elliott
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    15.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    166
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    15.52
    predicted pick:
    123
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    82.86

    Think this is wrong?

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