Mike Moraitis· Aug 24, 2026
Moraitis names seven Bears as trade candidates before roster cuts, predicting Kiran Amegadjie and Jedrick Wills are on the roster bubble and likely to be traded, while Ozzy Trapilo avoids an injured list, and listing several players as locks for the 53-man roster.
“That said, Amegadjie and Wills are far more likely to be moved than Jones and Benedet.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
19 checkable claims — 14 roster spot calls and 5 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 20 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 19 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 80 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
19 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Jordan van den Berg to make the roster
“With Jordan van den Berg ascending and locked-in to make the 53-man roster”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- 3e17addb-fcd3-47fe-b8be-f99e5214b920
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsNeville GallimoreChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Neville Gallimore to make the roster
“have Gervon Dexter, Grady Jarrett, Neville Gallimore and van den Berg as roster locks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 3814af65-e146-40ca-a9cf-a95f246e9c27
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsGrady JarrettChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Grady Jarrett to make the roster
“have Gervon Dexter, Grady Jarrett, Neville Gallimore and van den Berg as roster locks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 336df550-95c1-416b-b734-d15d51a77c91
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsGervon Dexter Sr.Chicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Gervon Dexter Sr. to make the roster
“have Gervon Dexter, Grady Jarrett, Neville Gallimore and van den Berg as roster locks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 5bc8b69f-c9d0-49d2-a792-8e2f36a77487
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Roster Spot CallsOzzy TrapiloChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Ozzy Trapilo to make the roster
“Even if he isn't ready for Week 1, Trapilo is likely to avoid beginning the season on an injured list, leaving one less tackle spot open on the initial 53.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CHI
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 5feab1c0-157e-40e3-a12c-b5baa6bee749
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Trade and Signing CallsTerell SmithChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Terell Smith to move to Chicago Bears
“The Bears have been ravaged by injuries in the secondary during the offseason, but Smith could still miss the cut, making him a trade candidate.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsMarcus DavenportChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Marcus Davenport to make the roster
“Davenport is likely to make Chicago's roster, also, after being signed recently”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsMalik MuhammadChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Malik Muhammad to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsTyrique StevensonChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Tyrique Stevenson to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsJames LynchChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
James Lynch to move to Chicago Bears
“Kentavius Street and James Lynch appear to be the best bets to make the 53-man roster out of the remaining defensive linemen, but one of them will likely have to go. Knowing that, don't be surprised to see either one traded before cuts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Jedrick Wills to move to Chicago Bears
“That said, Amegadjie and Wills are far more likely to be moved than Jones and Benedet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsAustin BookerChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Austin Booker to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsJosh BlackwellChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Josh Blackwell to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsMontez SweatChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Montez Sweat to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsJaylon JohnsonChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Jaylon Johnson to make the roster
“As things stand now, Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Malik Muhammad and Josh Blackwell are locked in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsDaniel HardyChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Daniel Hardy to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsDayo OdeyingboChicago BearsAug 24, 2026
Dayo Odeyingbo to make the roster
“they have Montez Sweat, Dayo Odeyingbo, Austin Booker and Daniel Hardy all locked-in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kentavius Street to move to Chicago Bears
“Kentavius Street and James Lynch appear to be the best bets to make the 53-man roster out of the remaining defensive linemen, but one of them will likely have to go. Knowing that, don't be surprised to see either one traded before cuts.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kiran Amegadjie to move to Chicago Bears
“That said, Amegadjie and Wills are far more likely to be moved than Jones and Benedet.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Pete MartuneacDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0After Trapilo's activation from the PUP list roughly seven months after rupturing his patellar tendon, Martuneac says the Bears' left tackle competition is over and Trapilo will be starting at left tackle early in the 2026 season, even if not by Week 1.
- Eric CohenGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Cohen says the Bears win easily in Carolina, and that Tennessee starts 1-0 over a Jets team he considers the third-worst in the league.
- Gene ChamberlainScore Predictions · Chicago BearsClose · 57Chamberlain picks the Bears to beat the Panthers in Week 1 at Charlotte, 34-30, giving Chicago the edge in the run game, passing game, pass defense and coaching.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Parkins picked the Giants to upset Dallas, the Steelers to beat Atlanta by two scores, the Bears to beat Carolina, the Bills to beat Houston and Denver to beat Kansas City outright; he also said Justin Herbert will win an MVP and had the Bengals as AFC North champs.
- Kirk HerbstreitGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Herbstreit made a full slate of Week 1 picks — Lions, Ravens, Bears, Bills, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Titans, Eagles, Packers and Cowboys — and also said he still thinks Seattle is the team to beat in the NFC West.
- Jonas KnoxGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Knox picked the Steelers at home over the Falcons, his Bears over the Panthers, the Bengals over the Buccaneers, the Texans money line over the Bills, and the Cowboys over the Giants.
More roster spot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jack KiserMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Cody RourkeRoster Spot Calls · Mitchell FraboniMiss · 0Rourke names the Ravens as the bounce-back team most likely to be dangerous in the AFC again, and says Houston's defense alone should carry the Texans into the postseason. He also expects long snapper Mitchell Fraboni to be one of Denver's practice-squad elevations for the Chiefs game, and slots Pat Bryant as Denver's third receiver behind Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle.
- Sayre BedingerRoster Spot Calls · Adam PrenticeMiss · 0Benninger expects Houston's elite defense to make them either a division winner or a wild card team, thinks Marvin Mims was trending toward being Denver's fourth receiver rather than just the return man, and figures Adam Prentice will be the Broncos' other practice-squad call-up.
- Bob MorrisRoster Spot Calls · Adam PrenticeHit · 100Morris predicts Jarrett Stidham holds the backup QB job behind Bo Nix, Adam Prentice makes the 53-man roster as the fullback/fourth back, and Lucas Krull gets cut.
- Erick TrickelRoster Spot Calls · Adam PrenticeHit · 100After the Broncos' preseason opener, Trickel argued fullback Adam Prentice has shown enough value to earn a spot on the 53-man roster ahead of the team's fourth running back options (Jaleel McLaughlin, Tyler Badie, Cody Schrader).
- Nick ShookRoster Spot Calls · Aaron DonaldHit · 100Shook unveiled his first NFL power rankings of the year, putting the Rams first, the Broncos second and the defending champion Seahawks only third, with the Dolphins last.