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Alex Curry· Feb 28, 2026

Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and she says Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.

“He's going to end up the first overall pick and end up in Las Vegas.”

said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “if everything goes away we think it should go, he's going to end up the first overall pick and end up in Las Vegas... Fernando Mendoza will go number one to the Raiders”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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  • Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons

    “But Kirk Cousins is going to be released by Atlanta in a couple of weeks, right?”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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