Benjamin Solak · Aug 2, 2026
Solak predicts the 2022 draft will see more running backs than quarterbacks taken in the first round — possibly three backs to two passers — that Carson Strong will be drafted ahead of Malik Willis, that Kayvon Thibodeaux won't be the first defensive lineman off the board, that eight defensive players will be selected in the top 10, and that Spencer Rattler will end up as the clear top prospect in the class.
“I think it's possible we see only two passers up against three backs come April.”
published in writing · The Draft Network · read the original (as archived Jul 29, 2021) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Prospect vs Prospect CallsCarson StrongAug 2, 2026
“If they both came out right now, Strong should and would be the higher drafted player given his current profile as a passer; barring major strides from Willis in just one offseason, Strong will likely always have that advantage on him.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Carson Strong drafted ahead of Malik Willis
- draft:
- 2022
- skill:
- -50
- what happened:
- Carson Strong went undrafted, Malik Willis went 86
- player:
- Carson Strong
- season:
- 2026
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Malik Willis
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksSpencer RattlerAug 2, 2026
“But when Rattler ascends to the clear top spot in this draft class overall—something I expect will happen”
Scored 0.23a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2024
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Spencer Rattler
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.23
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 150
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.23
- predicted pick:
- clear top spot in the draft class overall; top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksKayvon ThibodeauxAug 2, 2026
“Kayvon Thibodeaux Isn't First Defensive Lineman Drafted”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.