LaVar Arrington Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take | MissedTakes

LaVar Arrington

LaVar Arrington was the second overall pick in the 2000 NFL Draft, selected by the Washington Redskins after a college career at Penn State. He played linebacker for seven seasons in the NFL, also spending time with the New York Giants. Since retiring, Arrington has built a long broadcasting career — he worked Redskins pregame and postgame coverage on Comcast SportsNet starting in 2007, hosted "The LaVar Arrington Show with Chad Dukes" on 106.7 The Fan in Washington, and later joined NFL Network's NFL AM program in 2014. He spent time as a football analyst on FS1's "Speak For Yourself" before teaming up with Brady Quinn and Jonas Knox in September 2021 for "2 Pros and a Cup of Joe," Fox Sports Radio's morning drive show. On the podcast, Arrington regularly makes picks against the spread and offers takes on everything from NFL rosters and divisional races to the Combine and surprise teams.

Writes at 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)

Every take from LaVar Arrington, including the ones still waiting →

Is LaVar Arrington accurate? Across 90 graded calls in 16 articles, LaVar Arrington scores 47.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -7.76, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

47.67%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-7.76

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 16 articles. 6 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Game Outcome Picks54 graded48.85 accuracy
Division Winners16 graded12.5 accuracy
Power Rankings8 graded56.88 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where LaVar Arrington keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Arizona Cardinals+100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · when they strayed: 0.0 accuracy (2 settled)

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 90

9 of 16 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 3.

Arrington picked the Bears over the Vikings and then went to money lines, taking the Steelers to win in New England, the Bengals to win in Houston, the Broncos over the Jaguars, and following Jonas onto the Rams over the Giants.Sep 18, 2026
- Chicago Bears to beat Vikings
  “I said they were liars. They can't. I just don't see them doing that again. But they're going to cover. So I'm taking the Bears.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  MIN
  score:
  9-3
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  CHI
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  CHI
  difficulty:

In the Week 16 picks segment, LaVar took the Packers on the money line at Chicago, the Panthers on the money line against Tampa Bay, the Broncos to cover against Jacksonville, the Patriots on the money line at Baltimore, and the 49ers to cover at Indianapolis.5 graded calls · Dec 19, 2025

Denver Broncos to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
“Broncos will cover. Stick's picks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
JAX
score:
34-20
skill:
0
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.17
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago Bears
“The Bears are now the one and a half point favorite... I'm money lining green [bay]. Sticks picks”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-117 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
16-22
skill:
-117
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.17
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Niners will cover oo oo. Sticks picks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
48-27
skill:
117
they picked:
SF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
1.17
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Baltimore Ravens
“I'm money Line in New England. Sticks picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
28-24
skill:
117
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.17
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Carolina Panthers to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I'm on Elon in Carolina sticks picks... that's the second money line for VAR”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CAR
score:
20-23
skill:
0
they picked:
CAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
1.17
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
3
Think this grade is wrong?

Arrington's Week 7 picks: Rams over the Jaguars, Vikings on the money line against the Eagles, Chargers over the Colts, Buccaneers getting points at Detroit, and the Texans on the money line at Seattle.5 graded calls · Oct 17, 2025

Los Angeles Chargers to beat Colts
“I gotta go with the Chargers. Man, I'm gonna go with the Chargers.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
IND
score:
38-24
skill:
0
they picked:
LAC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to beat Eagles
“I can money line them. They're the underdog... I'm going to money line and say that they're going to win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
28-22
skill:
0
they picked:
MIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to beat Seahawks
“The Texans after that Jaguars game seem to have woken up... I'm going to take the Texans as a money line.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
19-27
skill:
-167
they picked:
HOU
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars
“I'm gonna take the Rams to cover sticks picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
35-7
skill:
167
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Lions
“I'm gonna take the points on this one with the bucks Man.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skill
How this was scored
won:
DET
score:
9-24
skill:
-167
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?

Arrington expects Penn State to exploit Oregon's run defense and cover the three-and-a-half point spread. In the NFL picks segment he took Minnesota to cover at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia over Tampa Bay, the Rams over the Colts, Kansas City on the money line over Baltimore, and Dallas plus seven against Green Bay.5 graded calls · Sep 26, 2025

Los Angeles Rams to beat Colts
“I'm taking the Rams. They'll cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
20-27
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to beat Packers
“Take Dallas Dallas”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
tie
score:
40-40
skill:
0
they picked:
DAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
the naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Tampa Bay
“I am taking the quarter black and uh in Philadelphia to beat the quarter white and and Tampa Bay.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
How this was scored
won:
PHI
score:
31-25
skill:
183
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to beat Steelers
“I'm going to say Minnesota will cover.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
How this was scored
won:
PIT
score:
21-24
skill:
-183
they picked:
MIN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Ravens
“This is the easiest money line of the week. There's my money line of the week, and taking Kansas City won it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
20-37
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this grade is wrong?