Michael Irvin· Sep 5, 2026
Irvin went game-by-game through the Cowboys' 2026 schedule and predicted a 13-4 finish, with losses to Houston, Philadelphia (Week 7), Seattle and the Giants in Week 17, and a season sweep of Washington.
“"13-4, y'all!"”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
18 checkable claims — 17 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
Where this call stands in the room
Dallas Cowboys · 2026 season · wins14 calls from 11 pundits between 3 wins and 13 wins. Michael Irvin said 13 wins. the room's median is 10 wins. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Cowboys at Giants 42 calls
- Commanders at Cowboys 10 calls
- Ravens at Cowboys 10 calls
- Cowboys at Texans 8 calls
- Buccaneers at Cowboys 5 calls
- Cowboys at Packers 9 calls
- Cowboys at Eagles 13 calls
- Cardinals at Cowboys 5 calls
- Cowboys at Colts 5 calls
- 49ers at Cowboys 9 calls
- Titans at Cowboys 4 calls
- Cowboys at Seahawks 6 calls
- Cowboys at Rams 11 calls
- Jaguars at Cowboys 4 calls
18 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksNew York GiantsSep 5, 2026
New York Giants to win
“Week 17 vs. New York Giants: L”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 20-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 1 at New York Giants: W”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NYG
- score:
- 20-28
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NYG
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 6 at Green Bay Packers: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 3 vs. Baltimore Ravens: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 9 at Indianapolis Colts: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Season Win TotalsDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 13 wins
“Irvin has the Cowboys finishing with a 13-4 record overall, with two of those losses coming against divisional opponents.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 5, 2026
Philadelphia Eagles to win
“Week 7 at Philadelphia Eagles: L”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 8 vs. Arizona Cardinals: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksSep 5, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to win
“Week 13 at Seattle Seahawks: L”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 15 at Los Angeles Rams: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 16 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 18 at Washington Commanders: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 11 vs. Tennessee Titans: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 12 vs. Philadelphia Eagles: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 10 vs. San Francisco 49ers: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansSep 5, 2026
Houston Texans to win
“Week 4 at Houston Texans: L”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 5, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to win
“Week 2 vs. Washington Commanders: W”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandHit · 100Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Jeff KerrDepth Chart Calls · Michael CarterMiss · 0Kerr says several Eagles have raised their stock in camp: Darius Cooper is emerging as the team's WR4, Drew Kendall is the No. 3 interior lineman/top backup at guard and center, Willie Lampkin is in prime position to make the 53-man roster, and Michael Carter is a roster lock who could start at safety in Week 1.
- Michael HanichDepth Chart Calls · Bud ClarkMiss · 0Hanich suggests Nick Emmanwori may miss Week 1 after ankle surgery, and that Noah Igbinoghene is making a strong case to be the Seahawks' Week 1 starting nickel, with Bud Clark also possibly stepping into a starting role if Emmanwori is out.
- Chad MillmanGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Chad Millman said he had taken money-line positions on several Week 1 underdogs — the Texans outright over the Bills, the Giants outright over Dallas (in a money-line underdog parlay), and Miami outright at Las Vegas — and that the show's survivor pick was the Steelers to win.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Sullivan takes the Jaguars to beat the Browns, doubting Deshaun Watson, and takes the Eagles over the Commanders at home.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to upset Dallas, the Steelers to beat Atlanta by two scores, the Bears to beat Carolina, the Bills to beat Houston and Denver to beat Kansas City outright; he also said Justin Herbert will win an MVP and had the Bengals as AFC North champs.
- Eric ManginiGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosMiss · 0Mangini's upset alert was Washington over Philadelphia; in the chips segment he backed Houston, Dallas and Denver; and his Monday headline was Cincinnati mauling Tampa Bay, with Joe Burrow as his MVP and the Bengals as AFC North champs.
- Shannon SharpeGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosMiss · 0Sharpe predicted Matthew Stafford would throw four touchdowns in the Thursday night game against the 49ers, picked Tampa Bay to beat Cincinnati at home, took the Broncos over Kansas City on Monday night with Bonitto getting 2.5 sacks, and expects big fantasy value from kicker Brandon Aubrey.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosMiss · 0An unsigned CBS Sports piece flags five Week 1 underdogs as upset candidates: the 49ers over the Rams in Melbourne, the Texans over the Bills, the Panthers over the Bears, the Jets over the Titans, and the Broncos over the Chiefs on Monday night.
- Mitch GoldichGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosMiss · 0Goldich's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Pluym's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games.