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Jared Dubin· Sep 9, 2026

In the Wednesday night season opener, the unsigned CBS Sports preview picks the defending champion Seahawks to beat the Patriots at home in a Super Bowl LX rematch, 23-17.

Pick: Seahawks 23, Patriots 17

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 96.4 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks 23 — Patriots 17

    In the end, we're rolling with the home team to defend its crown and take home the victory in Week 1. Pick: Seahawks 23, Patriots 17

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 100-14.29 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-13
    skill:
    -14.29
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    3
    predicted margin:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to win

    we're rolling with the home team to defend its crown and take home the victory in Week 1

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    10-13
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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