Colin Cowherd · Sep 19, 2025

Cowherd's "Blazing 5" week three picks: Rams upset the Eagles, Patriots beat the Steelers outright, Seahawks handle the Saints, Cowboys edge the Bears in a game that goes over 50.5, and the Ravens beat the Lions on Monday night.

“I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Score Predictions Baltimore RavensSep 19, 2025
“Ravens win thirty twenty three. I'll take him to cover the spread.”
Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 35.78+22.37 skill
How this was scored
score:
38-30
skill:
22.37
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
35.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Los Angeles RamsSep 19, 2025
“I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”
Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 88.16-85.63 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-33
skill:
-85.63
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
88.16
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New England PatriotsSep 19, 2025
“I like the Patriots straight out to win this game. Twenty seven twenty three.”
Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 38.16+8.87 skill
How this was scored
score:
21-14
skill:
8.87
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
38.16
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Seattle SeahawksSep 19, 2025
“I like Seattle here at home twenty eight to twenty.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-44
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Dallas CowboysSep 19, 2025
“Cowboys win at twenty eight twenty seven, But I like the over on this game.”
Scored 11.9a naive guess scored 64.35-99.13 skill
How this was scored
score:
14-31
skill:
-99.13
they picked:
DAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
11.9
baseline:
64.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?