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Colin Cowherd· Sep 19, 2025

Cowherd's "Blazing 5" week three picks: Rams upset the Eagles, Patriots beat the Steelers outright, Seahawks handle the Saints, Cowboys edge the Bears in a game that goes over 50.5, and the Ravens beat the Lions on Monday night.

“I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 39 out of 100, against 55.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Baltimore Ravens 30 — Lions 23

    “Ravens win thirty twenty three. I'll take him to cover the spread.”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 35.78+22.37 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    38-30
    skill:
    22.37
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    35.78
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 27 — Eagles 23

    “I'm gonna take the Rams to upset them. Twenty seven twenty three.”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 88.16-85.63 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-33
    skill:
    -85.63
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    88.16
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots 27 — Pittsburgh 23

    “I like the Patriots straight out to win this game. Twenty seven twenty three.”

    Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 38.16+8.87 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    21-14
    skill:
    8.87
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    42.86
    baseline:
    38.16
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 28 — Saints 20

    “I like Seattle here at home twenty eight to twenty.”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    13-44
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys 28 — Bears 27

    “Cowboys win at twenty eight twenty seven, But I like the over on this game.”

    Miss · 12Scored 11.9a naive guess scored 64.35-99.13 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    14-31
    skill:
    -99.13
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    11.9
    baseline:
    64.35
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

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