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Mike Kadlick· Sep 24, 2026

Kadlick expects an ugly, low-scoring Thursday night game at Lambeau Field, with Green Bay beating Atlanta 10–7 to move to 2–1 while the Falcons drop to 0–3 in Michael Penix Jr.'s return.

“I’m predicting this one ends with Green Bay winning a low-scoring affair, 10–7, to improve to 2–1 on the season.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 7.1 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 10 — Falcons 7

    “I’m predicting this one ends with Green Bay winning a low-scoring affair, 10–7, to improve to 2–1 on the season. The Falcons, meanwhile, fall to 0–3”

    Miss · 7Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 0+13.5 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-14
    skill:
    13.5
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    7.14
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    -0.45
    predicted margin:
    3

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