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Jared Dubin· Sep 24, 2026

Dubin picks the Packers to beat the Falcons comfortably on Thursday Night Football, predicting a 23-13 Green Bay win.

“Pick: Packers 23, Falcons 13”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 23.8 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 23 — Falcons 13

    “Pick: Packers 23, Falcons 13”

    Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 0+45 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-14
    skill:
    45
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    23.81
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    -0.45
    predicted margin:
    10

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