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Nick Wright· Sep 16, 2025

Wright reaffirmed his pick of Tampa Bay to reach the Super Bowl, saying he took them in part because he believes they can earn the No. 1 seed, and predicted Joe Burrow will win a record third Comeback Player of the Year award next season.

“I picked Tampa to go to the super Bowl in large part because I thought they could have the number one seed.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

3 checkable claims — 1 award pick, 1 conference champion and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seeding, Byes and Home FieldTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 16, 2025

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed

    “in large part because I thought they could have the number one seed. I think Philly and Green Bays divisions are so much tougher than what Baker's going to be dealing with.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    missed the playoffs
    difficulty:
    1.89
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (host)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

  • Conference ChampionsTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 16, 2025

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to reach the Super Bowl

    “I picked Tampa to go to the super Bowl in large part because I thought they could have the number one seed.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1.89
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati BengalsSep 16, 2025

    Joe Burrow to win Comeback Player of the Year

    “next year he likely becomes the NFL's first ever three times Comeback Player of the Year winner”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    comeback_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Joe Burrow
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Christian McCaffrey
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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