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Brandon Sneide· Feb 6, 2026

Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.

I think it's thirty one twenty three type game

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 award picks, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 70.2 out of 100, against 4.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl

    I do think Seattle late in this one will eventually pull away and win the Super Bowl.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 31 — New England Patriots 23

    I think they win. I think it's thirty one twenty three type game... I got Seattle 3123.

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 16.73+64.22 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    64.22
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Drake Maye to win second in MVP balloting

    I know Drake May is gonna probably finish second in the MVP balloting, to Matthew Stafford

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Matthew Stafford to win MVP

    I know Drake May is gonna probably finish second in the MVP balloting, to Matthew Stafford

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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