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JP Acosta· Jan 8, 2026

JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.

“The Eagles are gonna win, like, some ten three stinker.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast) · read the original →

25 checkable claims — 22 pro bowl and all-pro calls, 2 game outcome picks and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 34 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 25 have settled, averaging 3 out of 100, against 67.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

25 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Devon Witherspoon to make First-Team All-Pro

    “And then my third corner, which is be sort of like a nickel, I have Deborah Witherspoon.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Devon Witherspoon
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Garett Bolles to make First-Team All-Pro

    “Yeah. I mean, at left tackle, it's been it was really tight this year between Garrett Bowles, Tristan Wirth... I'm glad that he's getting the recognition that he deserves”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Garett Bolles
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Quinn Meinerz to make First-Team All-Pro

    “You have Joe Tooney and Quinn Miners.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he made it the year before, so the naive pick said yes
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Quinn Meinerz
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pat Surtain II to make First-Team All-Pro

    “I went with Pat Sertain a second for my second, corner”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he made it the year before, so the naive pick said yes
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Pat Surtain II
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Bijan Robinson to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards

    “But there is a really strong case, and I sort of believe that Bijan Robinson is the best running back in the league.”

    Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    -16.67
    player:
    Bijan Robinson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    12
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    ranked by:
    rushing yards
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    3
    actual finish:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    predicted finish:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeffery Simmons to make First-Team All-Pro

    “The obvious one is Jeffrey Simmons for the Tennessee titans.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Jeffery Simmons
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Leonard Williams to make First-Team All-Pro

    “My second first team all pro defensive tackle is Leonard Williams”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Leonard Williams
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Derek Stingley Jr. to make First-Team All-Pro

    “So unanimously, we chose Derek Stingley junior.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he made it the year before, so the naive pick said yes
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Derek Stingley Jr.
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Myles Garrett to make First-Team All-Pro

    “So all pro edge, obviously, Miles Garrett.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he made it the year before, so the naive pick said yes
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Myles Garrett
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Anderson Jr. to make First-Team All-Pro

    “But my second all pro edge is Will Anderson junior.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Will Anderson Jr.
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Devin Lloyd to make First-Team All-Pro

    “My other all pro linebacker, I'm gonna be a homer. Don't care. It's Devin Lloyd.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Devin Lloyd
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Talanoa Hufanga to make First-Team All-Pro

    “I went with Tylenol Hufanga as my second all pro safety.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Talanoa Hufanga
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kyle Hamilton to make First-Team All-Pro

    “So our agreement is Kyle Hamilton.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Kyle Hamilton
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat forty niners

    “this is gonna be the ugliest game of all time. The Eagles are gonna win, like, some ten three stinker.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • George Pickens to make First-Team All-Pro

    “I have George Pickens, baby. First team all pro George Pickens.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    George Pickens
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Drake Maye to make First-Team All-Pro

    “That's right. We're going with Drake May here.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba to make First-Team All-Pro

    “We have JSN and Puka Nakula. I think those two, you don't even need to debate it.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Bijan Robinson to make First-Team All-Pro

    “Let's get your running back where we both agree again. Not really debate here. It's Bijan Robinson.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Bijan Robinson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bills

    “So I'm still I'm confident in the in the Jags win, but I'm also terrified within that confidence.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Aaron Brewer to make First-Team All-Pro

    “Aaron Brewer. Dolphin center. For my money, Aaron Brewer is the protector of the year.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Aaron Brewer
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jack Campbell to make First-Team All-Pro

    “So linebacker, the one guy we agree on is Jack Campbell from Detroit Lions.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Jack Campbell
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trey McBride to make First-Team All-Pro

    “who are you going to who else are you going to give it to?... Trey McBride has been incredible”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Trey McBride
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Puka Nacua to make First-Team All-Pro

    “We have JSN and Puka Nakula. I think those two, you don't even need to debate it.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    Puka Nacua
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Joe Thuney to make First-Team All-Pro

    “Yeah. What would Tooney instead of Quentin Nelson?... I think he gets to nod over Nelson for me.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he made it the year before, so the naive pick said yes
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Joe Thuney
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Penei Sewell to make First-Team All-Pro

    “All pro OTs, we actually agree here. Again, Garrett Bowles, Pena Sewell.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he made it the year before, so the naive pick said yes
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Penei Sewell
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    selection:
    all_pro_first_team
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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