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Mike Mayock· Aug 6, 2025

Mayock says Philadelphia and Baltimore are the two most talented teams in the league, predicts Ravens DT Travis Jones has a breakout year and that Baltimore scores 30-plus points a game, believes Washington is not a one-year aberration with Jayden Daniels becoming a franchise quarterback, and ranks quarterbacks into tiers. He also thinks Aaron Rodgers will land in his 'solid' third tier and help Pittsburgh have a solid year.

“I think the two best teams, from a talent perspective in the league that I've seen last year and then again this year, are Philadelphia and Baltimore.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 power ranking, 1 surprise team call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 97.5 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Top Player ListsAug 6, 2025

    “I have four franchise quarterbacks this year... And at number five, I got Jaden Daniels.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95a naive guess scored 50+90 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    90
    placed:
    5
    season:
    2025
    players:
    5
    accuracy:
    95
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 5: 95
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsAug 6, 2025

    “I think the two best teams, from a talent perspective in the league Mhmm. That I've seen last year and then again this year, are Philadelphia and Baltimore.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Washington Commanders to beat expectations

    “I don't think Washington is, a one year aberration... I don't think they're an aberration. I think they're the real deal.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More power rankings

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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