Gargano also took Indiana over Miami as a mismatch, but split from Schwartz on wild card weekend by picking the Bears over the Packers and the Bills over the Jaguars, while liking the Patriots and Texans and ranking the Rams, Eagles and Bills as the top remaining contenders.

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansJan 10, 2026

  Houston Texans to win

  “so I would lean heavily to taking uh the Texans in this game”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  HOU

  score:

  30-6

  skill:

  100

  they picked:

  HOU

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  PIT

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Power RankingsJan 10, 2026

  “I would have Buffalo third. I would go Rams, Eagles, Bills.”

  Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+75 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  75

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  75

  baseline:

  0

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  3

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 10, 2026

  New England Patriots to win

  “I can't see the Chargers missing both tackles being able to win this game. I just can't say it. I just think they're not gonna be able to hold up against the New England Front.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  NE

  score:

  3-16

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  NE

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  NE

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 10, 2026

  Buffalo Bills to win

  “I came to in the game. I like Buffalo... but I mean I would be I would be disappointed if Buffalo lost.”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  BUF

  score:

  27-24

  skill:

  100

  they picked:

  BUF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  JAX

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsJan 10, 2026

  Chicago Bears to win

  “Without Micah, I think the Bears, Like, I think the Bears win the game”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?