David Harrison· Apr 6, 2026
In his weekly "Mock Draft Monday" for the Commanders, Harrison has Washington trade up from No. 7 to No. 3 with Arizona to take Ohio State linebacker Sonny Styles, then adds Ephesians Prysock, Pat Coogan, Lorenzo Styles Jr. and Roman Hemby on Day 3. He also projects Coogan as a backup center and Lorenzo Styles as a top-two free safety on the roster in time.
“So adding to number three, Sonny Styles linebacker at Ohio State at number one forty seven in the fifth round.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 49.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Sonny Styles · 2026 season · overall pick5 calls from 5 pundits between 3 overall pick and 7 overall pick. David Harrison said 3 overall pick. the room's median is 7 overall pick. what happened: 7 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 3
“And in this week's mock draft Monday, we did exactly that. And by doing so, we landed linebacker Sonny Styles because of it at number three.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 90 against a shuffle’s 50+40 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
Pat Coogan to be picked at number 187
“Number one eighty seven, Pat Coogan making his debut on our mock drafts here. Center out of Indiana.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 90 against a shuffle’s 50+40 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 40
- player:
- Pat Coogan
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 194
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 187
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 90
Lorenzo Styles to be picked at number 209
“Number two zero nine, Lorenzo Styles junior defensive back out of Ohio State.”
Miss · 20Scored 20.13 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Lorenzo Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 20.13
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 172
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 20.13
- predicted pick:
- 209
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Roman Hemby to be picked at number 223
“Number two twenty three, also a repeat player, Roman Hemby, running back out of Indiana.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Roman Hemby
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with LV
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 223
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Ephesians Prysock to be picked at number 147
“Number one forty seven in the fifth round, Ephesians Prysock, cornerback out of Washington”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Ephesians Prysock
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 139
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 147
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
Lorenzo Styles to be 2nd on the depth chart
“If the IQ gets better as a coverage guy with that education, I think he could be one of the top two free safeties on this team”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Pat Coogan to be 2nd on the depth chart
“First year, I think he's a competitive backup... I think, ultimately, he ends up a backup to Nick Alo ready, there at at the center position.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Luke McCaffreyHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Terry McLaurinHit · 100Hughes surveys Washington's remaining roster questions, asserting that Terry McLaurin and Stefon Diggs are locks for the 53-man roster and that Antonio Williams has essentially secured a spot as the third receiver, while Percy Butler's standing improved after safety cuts.
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Frankie LuvuHit · 100Hughes projects Washington's initial 53-man roster ahead of the final preseason game, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, and slots Athan Kaliakmanis as the No. 3 quarterback behind Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Antonio WilliamsHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason snap-count review that draws depth-chart, roster-spot and fantasy conclusions from the first week of preseason games — naming starters and backups across nearly every team, flagging sleepers such as Keaton Mitchell, Tyjae Spears, Jahan Dotson and Greg Dulcich, and fading players like Mike Gesicki, Pat Freiermuth, Gunnar Helm and Cam Skattebo.
- Brian PeacockRoster Spot Calls · Ephesians PrysockHit · 100Peacock predicts Stribling won't produce much fantasy volume as a rookie in 2026 but becomes a starting outside receiver long term, sees fourth-rounder Ephesians Prysock making the roster as depth rather than starting, and thinks Jaden Duggar may end up a practice squad player.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.