Nathan Jahnke· Aug 16, 2026
An unsigned PFF preseason snap-count review that draws depth-chart, roster-spot and fantasy conclusions from the first week of preseason games — naming starters and backups across nearly every team, flagging sleepers such as Keaton Mitchell, Tyjae Spears, Jahan Dotson and Greg Dulcich, and fading players like Mike Gesicki, Pat Freiermuth, Gunnar Helm and Cam Skattebo.
“Love started this game, suggesting he is already ahead of Allgeier on the depth chart.”
published in writing · Pro Football Focus · read the original →
41 checkable claims — 25 depth chart calls, 7 sleeper calls, 4 fantasy bust calls, 4 roster spot calls and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 62 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 41 have settled so far, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 19 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 5 and below it on 14.
Where this call stands in the room
Kenneth Walker III · 2026 season3 calls from 3 pundits between 1 and 1. Nathan Jahnke said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Greg Dortch
- Detroit Lions
- Antonio Williams
- Washington Commanders
- Kaleb Johnson
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Jahan Dotson
- Atlanta Falcons
- Omar Cooper
- New York Jets
- Isaac TeSlaa
- Caleb Douglas
- Miami Dolphins
- Emari Demercado
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Braxton Berrios
- New York Giants
- Javonte Williams
- Dallas Cowboys
- Marquise Brown
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Odell Beckham Jr.
- Jonah Coleman
- Denver Broncos
- Nate Boerkircher
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Oscar Delp
- New Orleans Saints
- Keaton Mitchell
- Los Angeles Chargers
- DeMario Douglas
- New England Patriots
- Pat Freiermuth
- AJ Barner
- Seattle Seahawks
- Breece Hall
- Cedrick Wilson Jr.
- Kimani Vidal
- Andrew Ogletree
- Indianapolis Colts
- Kenneth Walker III
- Greg Dulcich
- Tanner Koziol
- Adonai Mitchell
- Tyjae Spears
- Tennessee Titans
- Cam Skattebo
- Jaydon Blue
- Mike Washington
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Gunnar Helm
- Mike Gesicki
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Eli Stowers
- Malik Washington
- Marlin Klein
- Houston Texans
- Jarquez Hunter
- Los Angeles Rams
- Jam Miller
- Jeremiyah Love
- Arizona Cardinals
41 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Roster Spot CallsGreg DortchDetroit LionsAug 16, 2026
Greg Dortch to make the roster
“Both Wilson and Dortch stopped playing at the end of the first quarter, making it seem like their roster spots are secure.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 7297e44a-b03f-4ef8-b87b-f2088f0abca3
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Antonio Williams to make the roster
“There is still plenty of time for Williams to move up the depth chart, and he appears likely to make the roster, but his early-season playing time could be limited.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- WAS
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- 885dd64e-b81f-4d56-a934-ab65cab9266e
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
Kaleb Johnson to make the roster
“playing well behind both Travis Homer and Lew Nichols, making it seem very unlikely Johnson makes the 53-man roster”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- PIT
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- 3eae42c1-71f4-46f5-9aba-7b04c2a1a0e8
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he does not make the 53
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 1
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 0
- Sleeper CallsJahan DotsonAtlanta FalconsAug 16, 2026
Jahan Dotson to outplay his draft cost (a late-round pick in deeper leagues)
“his opportunity in Atlanta gives him a chance to put together his best season yet. He is worth a late-round pick in deeper leagues.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsOmar CooperNew York JetsAug 16, 2026
Omar Cooper to be 4th on the depth chart
“Omar Cooper Jr. doesn’t play with the starters: New York’s rookie wide receiver appears to be fourth on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsIsaac TeSlaaDetroit LionsAug 16, 2026
Isaac TeSlaa to be 3rd on the depth chart
“While TeSlaa is still the clear favorite for the third receiving spot”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsCaleb DouglasMiami DolphinsAug 16, 2026
Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (late-round picks)
“Both Douglas and Washington are worth late-round picks, as one of the two will likely lead Miami in targets this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Emari Demercado to be 4th on the depth chart
“This would suggest that Demercado is a distant fourth on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsBraxton BerriosNew York GiantsAug 16, 2026
Braxton Berrios to be 6th on the depth chart
“That suggests Beckham and Berrios are no higher than sixth on the depth chart at this point.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJavonte WilliamsDallas CowboysAug 16, 2026
Javonte Williams to be 1st on the depth chart
“Williams remains the unquestioned starter, but Blue appears to have established himself as his primary handcuff.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Marquise Brown to be 4th on the depth chart
“Free-agent addition Hollywood Brown played on the first two drives before leaving ahead of the rest of the Eagles’ starters, providing further evidence that he is fourth on the wide receiver depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Odell Beckham Jr. to be 6th on the depth chart
“That suggests Beckham and Berrios are no higher than sixth on the depth chart at this point.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJonah ColemanDenver BroncosAug 16, 2026
Jonah Coleman to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Jonah Coleman is already third on the depth chart... it did provide evidence that Coleman is already ahead of both McLaughlin and Badie”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Nate Boerkircher to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Nate Boerkircher and Tanner Koziol have already worked their way to second and third on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsOscar DelpNew Orleans SaintsAug 16, 2026
Oscar Delp to be 2nd on the depth chart
“This suggests Delp will be a direct backup to Johnson, while Fant will likely join Johnson in 12 personnel.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsKeaton MitchellLos Angeles ChargersAug 16, 2026
Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost
“Mitchell has been among my top sleepers because of his strong play with the Baltimore Ravens and his similarities to Mike McDaniel’s former running back, De’Von Achane.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart
“This suggests that Douglas is the clear third wide receiver on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Pat Freiermuth to fall short of his draft cost
“While Freiermuth could be a bye-week replacement, it’s unlikely he has a significant bounce-back this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsAJ BarnerSeattle SeahawksAug 16, 2026
AJ Barner to be 1st on the depth chart
“AJ Barner won the starting tight end job last season and remains firmly atop the depth chart, leaving Arroyo in a backup role.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Positional FinishesBreece HallNew York JetsAug 16, 2026
Breece Hall to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
“Hall enters the season as a high-end RB2 with a path to RB1 production if the Jets’ offense exceeds expectations.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Roster Spot CallsCedrick Wilson Jr.Detroit LionsAug 16, 2026
Cedrick Wilson Jr. to make the roster
“Both Wilson and Dortch stopped playing at the end of the first quarter, making it seem like their roster spots are secure.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Keaton Mitchell to be 2nd on the depth chart
“While Mitchell and Vidal appeared to be in a competition for the second running back spot, Mitchell appears to be in second.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kimani Vidal to be 3rd on the depth chart
“The fact that Mitchell didn’t play while Vidal did suggests Vidal is a clear third on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Andrew Ogletree to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Drew Ogletree only played on the first drive with the starters for Indianapolis, suggesting he is locked in to the third tight end spot.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Kenneth Walker III to be 1st on the depth chart
“Walker is undoubtedly the lead back who will see a high percentage of snaps.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsGreg DulcichMiami DolphinsAug 16, 2026
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (a popular late-round target)
“Dulcich’s usage in passing-oriented personnel groupings leaves a path for him to emerge as one of this season’s top sleeper tight ends.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Tanner Koziol to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Nate Boerkircher and Tanner Koziol have already worked their way to second and third on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsAdonai MitchellNew York JetsAug 16, 2026
Adonai Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (a late-round pick)
“Mitchell was already worth a late-round pick before this game, and his usage on the opening drive further solidified his role.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsTyjae SpearsTennessee TitansAug 16, 2026
Tyjae Spears to outplay his draft cost (consensus ADP is 92 picks later than Pollard’s)
“Spears’ consensus ADP is 92 picks later than Pollard’s, but based on this game, the gap between the two should be considerably smaller.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsCam SkatteboNew York GiantsAug 16, 2026
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (his current ADP)
“That uncertainty makes Skattebo difficult to justify at his current ADP, particularly when other players in the same range have more secure roles in their offenses.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJaydon BlueDallas CowboysAug 16, 2026
Jaydon Blue to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Jaydon Blue appears locked into the backup running back role: Blue dominated the first-half snaps, suggesting the No. 2 job is his to lose.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Mike Washington to be 2nd on the depth chart
“it did help confirm that Washington is the No. 2 running back on the depth chart”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsGunnar HelmTennessee TitansAug 16, 2026
Gunnar Helm to fall short of his draft cost
“For now, Helm should be left undrafted in most redraft leagues.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJahan DotsonAtlanta FalconsAug 16, 2026
Jahan Dotson to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Jahan Dotson is the Falcons’ second wide receiver: The former Philadelphia Eagles receiver played 100% of the snaps with the starters.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy Bust CallsMike GesickiCincinnati BengalsAug 16, 2026
Mike Gesicki to fall short of his draft cost
“It is very unlikely that Gesicki will see enough playing time to be fantasy-relevant this season if he wasn’t playing in early downs even with All out.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsEli StowersPhiladelphia EaglesAug 16, 2026
Eli Stowers to be 4th on the depth chart
“Eli Stowers starts fourth on the depth chart: Stowers appears unlikely to make a significant impact as a rookie.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Sleeper CallsMalik WashingtonMiami DolphinsAug 16, 2026
Malik Washington to outplay his draft cost (late-round picks)
“Both Douglas and Washington are worth late-round picks, as one of the two will likely lead Miami in targets this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsMarlin KleinHouston TexansAug 16, 2026
Marlin Klein to be 2nd on the depth chart
“for now, it appears Klein could start the season as the second tight end”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJarquez HunterLos Angeles RamsAug 16, 2026
Jarquez Hunter to be 4th on the depth chart
“2025 fourth-round running back Jarquez Hunter remains fourth on the depth chart, and he appears to be a distant fourth”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJam MillerNew England PatriotsAug 16, 2026
Jam Miller to be 3rd on the depth chart
“Seventh-round rookie Jam Miller appears to be the favorite for the third receiver role.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsJeremiyah LoveArizona CardinalsAug 16, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be 1st on the depth chart
“Love started this game, suggesting he is already ahead of Allgeier on the depth chart.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
- Ralph VacchianoDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandHit · 100Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jack KiserMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Keenan AllenHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Steven RuizDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy.
- Mike FlorioDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule.
- Paul KerenDepth Chart Calls · Teven JenkinsMiss · 0Keren says Teven Jenkins still projects as Cleveland's Week 1 starting right guard despite a push from KT Leveston, and that Carson Schwesinger and Quincy Williams will be the Browns' lead linebackers.
- Mike MoraitisDepth Chart Calls · Ozzy TrapiloMiss · 0Moraitis writes that although Braxton Jones has looked like the favorite, Ozzy Trapilo is likely to take over as the Bears' starting left tackle once he's healthy enough to play.