Chris Brockman · Feb 23, 2026
Brockman's overreaction slate: Breece Hall leaves the Jets and plays in the playoffs next season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the best receiver in the league, three quarterbacks (Mendoza first overall, plus Ty Simpson and Carson Beck) go in the first round, and the Patriots crater to a 7-10 season.
“Reese Hall's gonna be in the playoffs next year, and the Jets will again be fourth in the AFC.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaFeb 23, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsFeb 23, 2026
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be. That's how bad it's gonna be next year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksCarson BeckFeb 23, 2026
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot. It is those three quarterbacks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Carson Beck
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with ARI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksTy SimpsonFeb 23, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot. It is those three quarterbacks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Trade and Signing CallsBreece HallFeb 23, 2026
Breece Hall to move
“Okay. Reese Hall's gonna be in the playoffs next year, and the Jets will again be fourth in the AFC. / You're just assuming that the jets are just gonna watch another guy go.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“Super Bowl champion, offensive player of the year, and JSN is the best wide receiver in the NFL and should be the highest paid at the position.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.