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Kyle Brandt· Oct 30, 2025

Brandt expects Buffalo to beat Kansas City in their regular-season meeting, consistent with the rivalry's pattern, and thinks the Patriots hosting a playoff game under Mike Vrabel would surprise nobody. Looking back at his preseason picks, he stands by the Seahawks winning the NFC West and doubles down on the Steelers making the playoffs.

So listen, history tells us that Buffalo coming off scoring forty points and Josh Allam's grandmother time to smile, will probably win this game.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    the Seattle Seahawks. I had winning the NFC West, not as a wild card, not behind the Rams, not behind San Francisco... I still think all of my picks are going to be right

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    156
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    won the division:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City

    history tells us that Buffalo coming off scoring forty points and Josh Allam's grandmother time to smile, will probably win this game as well as Kansas City's playing

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    21-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    It's the Steelers... Is it nine to eight and they squeak in or is it ten and seven and they have a nice comfortable wild card. It is still going to happen. I won't deviate.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to take the top seed

    if the Patriots are playing a home playoff game to start the playoff run under Mike Vrabel. I don't think anybody's going to be shocked

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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