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Sam Loveman· Feb 8, 2026

Loveman predicted the Seahawks would beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl, initially suggesting 31-21 and confirming that as his final score prediction, and also said the game would go over the 45-point total.

I think it should be like Seahawks 31, Patriots 21, something around there.

said on air, transcribed by us · 95.7 The Game Weekends (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 86 out of 100, against 41.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

3They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Mack Hollins to be 3rd on the depth chart

    Matt Collins is getting very good for your number three receiver

    Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 83.33+8.33 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NE
    skill:
    8.33
    player:
    Mack Hollins
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    83.33
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    4
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Elijah Mitchell to be 2nd on the depth chart

    Elijah Mitchell is probably the best running back that Kyle Shanahan has drafted, and he would be playing backup to Trevion Henderson.

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 66.67+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Elijah Mitchell
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    66.67
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 31 — Patriots 21

    I think it should be like Seahawks 31, Patriots 21, something around there. ... Anyway, again, I'm predicting what I say, thirty one twenty one. I guess that's gonna be my my prediction. Seahawks are gonna win.

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 16.73+68.98 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    68.98
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to win

    Seahawks are gonna win. Hopefully, I'm wrong.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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