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Gregg Rosenthal· Oct 23, 2025

Rosenthal's official picks against the spread: Packers -3 at Pittsburgh (predicting a blowout, roughly 36-18), Falcons -7.5 over Miami, and Bills +7 in Carolina (he believes Buffalo wins outright and scores 35). He also said he liked the Browns +7, the Vikings getting points, and would take the Patriots if picking that game.

I think they're gonna blow him out. I have it like thirty six to eighteen

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 70.2 out of 100, against 32.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 36 — Steelers 18

    I think they're gonna blow him out. I have it like thirty six to eighteen

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 31.02+80.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    35-25
    skill:
    80.39
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    31.02
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to beat Panthers

    Can Andy Dalton keep up in a shootout? I don't think so. Bill's plus seven.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    40-9
    skill:
    161
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to beat Browns

    I would have. I would take the Patriots. But three and a half feels about right there.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    13-32
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

  • Atlanta Falcons to beat Miami Dolphins

    I'm taking the Falcons minus seven and a half... they're playing the Miami Dolphins

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIA
    score:
    34-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    ATL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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