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Eric Mangini· Jan 10, 2026

Mangini's upset alert was Carolina beating the heavily favored Rams; he also confirmed he has Buffalo ultimately winning in Jacksonville, and noted he had picked Justin Herbert as his MVP after Joe Burrow's injury.

I still think that there's a nice opportunity here for Carolina.

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Carolina Panthers to win

    I still think that there's a nice opportunity here for Carolina... Carolina could do it again.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to win

    So you got Trevor Lawrence being impactful, but the Bills ultimately winning. Yes.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Justin Herbert to win MVP

    So I I picked Herbert to be my MVP after Burrow went down.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Justin Herbert
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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