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Eric Crocker· Mar 3, 2026

Crocker says Thieneman's testing may have pushed him into the first round and possibly the top 20, and pegs Emmanuel McNeil Warren as a second-round/high second-round pick.

those are things that I feel like he may have ran him, not only into the first round, but maybe into the top 20.

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 90.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
high second round pick (picks 33–64)They said
58What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “high second round pick” (picks 33–64)

    Well, I I mocked him in the second round of of our draft... he's definitely someone I feel, like, has the ability to be a a a definitely a high second round pick.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    high second round pick (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dillon Thieneman to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)

    those are things that I feel like he may have ran him, not only into the first round, but maybe into the top 20.

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    top 20 (picks 1–20)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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