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Colin Cowherd· Nov 7, 2025

In his weekly 'Blazing Five,' Cowherd picked five games with exact final scores: Colts over Falcons, Ravens over Vikings, Buccaneers over Patriots, Lions over Commanders, and an upset by the Steelers over the Chargers.

“I got an upset twenty four, twenty three Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers walk out with a narrow win.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 5 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 65.7 out of 100, against 48.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Score PredictionsIndianapolis ColtsNov 7, 2025

    Indianapolis Colts 33 — Falcons 24

    “I like the Colts in Berlin minus five and a half... Indy to win and cover thirty three twenty four”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 90.54+3.47 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    25-31
    skill:
    3.47
    they picked:
    IND
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    90.54
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    9

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  • Score PredictionsBaltimore RavensNov 7, 2025

    Baltimore Ravens 30 — Vikings 20

    “Ravens win and the Ravens cover. It's an urgent week for Baltimore and next week in the week after thirty to twenty.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 35.78+89.19 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-19
    skill:
    89.19
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    35.78
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    10

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  • Score PredictionsTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 7, 2025

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27 — Patriots 23

    “I like the Bucks at home to win and cover twenty seven to twenty three”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 42.92+7.04 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    28-23
    skill:
    7.04
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    42.92
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

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  • Score PredictionsDetroit LionsNov 7, 2025

    Detroit Lions 33 — Commanders 21

    “I like the Lions to win. I like another favorite here thirty three twenty one.”

    Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 2.45+110.61 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    110.61
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    76.19
    baseline:
    2.45
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    12

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  • Score PredictionsPittsburgh SteelersNov 7, 2025

    Pittsburgh Steelers 24 — Chargers 23

    “I'm gonna take the underdog Steelers plus three... I got an upset twenty four, twenty three”

    Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 69.11-78.67 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-25
    skill:
    -78.67
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    69.11
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    9
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    1

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