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Tyler Sullivan· Sep 17, 2026

Sullivan picks the Bills 31-27 over the Lions and the Eagles to beat the Titans 27-17.

“I'll fade Cam Ward and the Titans until they give me a reason not to.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 79.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsSep 17, 2026

    Buffalo Bills 31 — Lions 27

    “Tyler Sullivan's pick: Bills 31-27 over Lions”

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 79.41+12.23 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    31-41
    skill:
    12.23
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    79.41
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    17
    naive home margin:
    1.35
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsPhiladelphia EaglesSep 17, 2026

    Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Titans 17

    “Tyler Sullivan -- Eagles (-7) 27-17 over Titans.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

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