John Breech· Sep 17, 2026
Breech picks the Bills to beat the Lions 38-31 on Thursday night, floats the game as a Super Bowl preview, and takes the Cardinals to upset the Seahawks 20-17 in Week 2.
“I believe in Arizona and I think the Cards are going to pull off the upset here.”
published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 92.9 out of 100, against 79.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Lions at Bills 20 calls
- Seahawks at Cardinals 9 calls
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsSep 17, 2026
Buffalo Bills 38 — Lions 31
“John Breech's pick: Bills 38-31 over Lions”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 79.41+26.08 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 31-41
- skill:
- 26.08
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 79.41
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 17
- naive home margin:
- 1.35
- predicted margin:
- 7
- Score PredictionsArizona CardinalsSep 17, 2026
Arizona Cardinals 20 — Seahawks 17
“John Breech -- Cardinals (+4.5) 20-17 over Seahawks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsBuffalo BillsSep 17, 2026
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“the Bills (1-0) will be hosting the Lions (1-0) in a possible SUPER BOWL PREVIEW. Is it too early to say that? Probably, but I'm going to say it anyway.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsDetroit LionsSep 17, 2026
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“the Bills (1-0) will be hosting the Lions (1-0) in a possible SUPER BOWL PREVIEW. Is it too early to say that? Probably, but I'm going to say it anyway.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 86Sullivan picks the Bills 31-27 over the Lions and the Eagles to beat the Titans 27-17.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 90Dajani picks the Bills 36-30 over the Lions and the Texans to beat the Bengals 27-23 in Houston.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 83Dubin picks the Bills to win a shootout over the Lions 35-32 and takes the Patriots to beat the Steelers 21-13.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 90Prisco picks the Bills 36-30 over the Lions and has the Jaguars upsetting the Broncos 23-20 in Denver.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 86Unsigned CBS Sports preview of Bills-Lions picks Buffalo to win a high-scoring Thursday night game 35-31, and expects Larry Borom to step in as Detroit's starting right tackle for the injured Blake Miller.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Buffalo BillsHit · 86Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though he expects several of them to stay close.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris BrockmanConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
- Damonza ByrdConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · Denver BroncosClose · 50Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.
- AJ HawkConference Champions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
- Derek MurphyConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.