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Mike Mayock· Apr 10, 2026

Mayock says up to seven offensive tackles could go in the first round, singles out Georgia's Freeling as a riser who could go as early as No. 6 to the Browns and be the best left tackle from this class in three years, and pegs Indiana's Omar Cooper as the fourth wide receiver off the board. He also worries about Ty Simpson being pushed into the first round, ideally landing in the second round with the Rams, and mentions Seattle possibly taking him at 16.

“I think he's going to be the best left tackle, coming out of this draft three years from now.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 56.6 out of 100, against 38.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
6They said
19What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6

    “He's going to go higher, I think, than people think. I mean, I could see him as early as six to the Browns.”

    Close · 57Scored 56.94a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omar Cooper to be 4th wide receiver off the board

    “I think he'll probably be the fourth wide out off the board.”

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 14.51+56.2 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 14.51
    skill:
    56.2
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    14.51
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    5
    predicted order:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ty Simpson to be picked “second round to the Rams” (picks 33–64)

    “he, ideally, would go on the second round to the Rams and sit behind Matthew Stafford for two years”

    Close · 42Scored 42.04a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    42.04
    predicted pick:
    second round to the Rams (picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

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