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Nick Shook· Sep 11, 2026

Shook makes three ATS picks — Steelers -3.5 over Atlanta, Jaguars -8.5 over Cleveland, Cowboys -2.5 at the Giants — plus a fourth stashed pick on Houston. He gives score predictions of Jaguars 30-9 and Cowboys by 15, and says the Steelers win by 7-10.

“My first winner is going to be the Pittsburgh Steelers facing, looking at minus three and a half over the Atlanta Falcons.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 score prediction and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 48.2 out of 100, against 62.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Cleveland Browns · 2026 season · wins

5 calls from 3 pundits between 4 wins and 6 wins. Nick Shook said 4 wins. the room's median is 6 wins. not settled yet

Nick Shook — 4 winsthe room — 5 calls from 3 punditsmedian 6 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 11, 2026

    Dallas Cowboys to win

    “I'm going Cowboys minus two and a half over the Giants... I picked them to win by 15”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsSep 11, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Cleveland Browns 9

    “It's Jaguars minus eight and a half over the Browns... 30-9, that's what I went with.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 50+85.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    10-34
    skill:
    85.71
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    -0.53
    predicted margin:
    21

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersSep 11, 2026

    Pittsburgh Steelers to win

    “my first winner is going to be the Pittsburgh Steelers facing, looking at minus three and a half over the Atlanta Falcons... I think it's Probably a 7 to 10 point victory in this game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    13-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansSep 11, 2026

    Houston Texans to win

    “that was the fourth pick I had stashed away was Texans one and a half... I very much feel confident in the Texans winning this game at home to start the season.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    36-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Season Win TotalsCleveland BrownsSep 11, 2026

    Cleveland Browns to finish with 4 wins

    “But I think I had the Browns maybe four and 13.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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