Arrington expects Penn State to exploit Oregon's run defense and cover the three-and-a-half point spread. In the NFL picks segment he took Minnesota to cover at Pittsburgh, Philadelphia over Tampa Bay, the Rams over the Colts, Kansas City on the money line over Baltimore, and Dallas plus seven against Green Bay.

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsSep 26, 2025

  “I'm taking the Rams. They'll cover.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  LAR

  score:

  20-27

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  LAR

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  LAR

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsSep 26, 2025

  “I'm going to say Minnesota will cover.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PIT

  score:

  21-24

  skill:

  -183

  they picked:

  MIN

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  PIT

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsSep 26, 2025

  “This is the easiest money line of the week. There's my money line of the week, and taking Kansas City won it.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  KC

  score:

  20-37

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  KC

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  KC

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 26, 2025

  “I am taking the quarter black and uh in Philadelphia to beat the quarter white and and Tampa Bay.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  PHI

  score:

  31-25

  skill:

  183

  they picked:

  PHI

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  TB

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysSep 26, 2025

  “Take Dallas Dallas”

  Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  tie

  score:

  40-40

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  DAL

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  50

  baseline:

  50

  naive pick:

  DAL

  difficulty:

  1.83

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  15

  Think this is wrong?