Marcus Mosher· May 21, 2024
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived May 23, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
9 checkable claims — 4 sleeper calls, 2 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 9 have settled, averaging 78.8 out of 100, against 27 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Sleeper CallsWan'Dale RobinsonNew York GiantsMay 21, 2024
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost
“Wan'Dale Robinson, New York Giants ... listed among four potential breakout receivers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- none named
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Wan'Dale Robinson
- season:
- 2024
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR61
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR53
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2023 finish
- Sleeper CallsKhalil ShakirBuffalo BillsMay 21, 2024
Khalil Shakir to outplay his draft cost
“one player who will take on a bigger role will be Khalil Shakir, a third-year receiver from Boise State”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- none named
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Khalil Shakir
- season:
- 2024
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR58
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR40
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2023 finish
- Sleeper CallsMarvin Mims Jr.Denver BroncosMay 21, 2024
Marvin Mims Jr. to outplay his draft cost
“Marvin Mims, Denver Broncos ... listed among four potential breakout receivers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- none named
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Marvin Mims Jr.
- season:
- 2024
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR82
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR52
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2023 finish
- Sleeper CallsDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 21, 2024
Drake London to outplay his draft cost
“Here are four potential breakout receivers ahead of the 2024 season: Potential Breakout Wide Receivers — Drake London, Atlanta Falcons”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- none named
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2024
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR42
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR6
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2023 finish
- Depth Chart CallsMalik NabersNew York GiantsMay 21, 2024
Malik Nabers to be 1st on the depth chart
“rookie Malik Nabers gives the New York Giants a No. 1 receiver”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYG
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Malik Nabers
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 21, 2024
Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 0+150 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 150
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 30
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Depth Chart CallsMarvin Mims Jr.Denver BroncosMay 21, 2024
Marvin Mims Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“It wouldn't be a shock if he was Denver's No. 1 receiver by the end of the season.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DEN
- skill:
- -33.33
- player:
- Marvin Mims Jr.
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 3
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Marvin Mims Jr. to record 1,000 receiving yards
“If the Broncos get average play from Nix this season, Mims has a chance to be a 1,000-yard receiver in Payton's offense.”
Miss · 1Scored 0.6a naive guess scored 51.47-101.75 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 380.95
- skill:
- -101.75
- what happened:
- 503
- player:
- Marvin Mims Jr.
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0.6
- baseline:
- 51.47
- predicted:
- 1000
- statistic:
- receiving_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 377
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 384.91
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Positional FinishesDrake LondonAtlanta FalconsMay 21, 2024
Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by receptions
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Drake London
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 30
- actual finish:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
What others said about the same people
- Ralph VacchianoDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta.
- Steven RuizDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0The unsigned Pick Six newsletter expects Seth McLaughlin to step into the Lions' starting center job with Cade Mays injured, and suggests Tua Tagovailoa is on track to be Atlanta's Week 1 starting quarterback.
- Matt OkadaDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0In a PPR-framed fantasy draft guide, Okada makes a few non-fantasy claims: rookie Jeremiyah Love will be Arizona's featured back despite being listed as RB2, Tua Tagovailoa will be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, and Kyler Murray will open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback.
- theScoreDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0theScore's staff power rankings for all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last.
- Mike FanelliDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Fanelli ranks all 32 NFL teams for 2026 fantasy purposes, with the Bengals first and the Dolphins last, and makes assorted calls including Joe Burrow winning Comeback Player of the Year, Drake Maye leading the league in passing touchdowns, various starting-role and depth-chart projections, plus sleepers (Godwin, Travis Hunter, Jonathon Brooks) and a bust call on De'Von Achane.
More sleeper calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Matt Money SmithSleeper Calls · Tre HarrisMiss · 0Smith says Ladd McConkie is a legitimate No. 1 receiver who could post a Jaylen Waddle-like season of roughly 1,700 yards and eight touchdowns, and he predicts second-year Chargers receiver Trey Harris will have a big year under Mike McDaniel. He also expects Philip Rivers to become an NFL head coach and thinks the Chargers offense will be good in the coming season.
- Brandon CarneySleeper Calls · Javonte WilliamsHit · 100Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonSleeper Calls · Saquon BarkleyMiss · 0Johnson says the Steelers aren't legitimate Super Bowl contenders even with Aaron Rodgers back, and that Saquon Barkley can have a bounce-back season in year nine with the Eagles competing for a championship if the offensive line stays healthy.
- Ross JacksonSleeper Calls · Devaughn VeleMiss · 0Ross Jackson agreed to the same Saints mock draft board — Jeremiah Love at eight, Akeem Mesador in the second, Keonte Scott at 73, Keelan Rutledge and Ted Hurst in the fourth, Xavien Harris at 148, Aaron Anderson in the fifth and Bryce Boettcher in the sixth — and also called Devon Vellet a 2026 breakout candidate.
- Greg CosellSleeper Calls · Omarion HamptonMiss · 0Cosell expects the Nick Bonito vs. Will Campbell matchup to be pivotal, predicts Caleb Williams' future is bright, expects the Chargers' run game to improve dramatically under Mike McDaniel with a good season from Omarion Hampton, and expects Sean Payton not to hide Stidham.
- Andrew EricksonSleeper Calls · Saquon BarkleyMiss · 0Erickson gave his 2026 first-round board, leaning on running backs early with Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, Ja'Marr Chase as his WR1 and Christian McCaffrey slipping to 12. He also touted Malik Nabers as a buying opportunity, projected big touchdown numbers for Burrow and Chase, and called Barkley a buy-low.