Marcus Mosher

81.69%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

11.79

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 9 articles. 31 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 40

Mosher's Week 18 power rankings for the 2024 season, ordering all 32 NFL teams with Kansas City first and the Giants last. Along the way he predicts Washington beats Dallas in Week 18, expects Atlanta to miss the playoffs and Indianapolis to miss as well, says Houston will host a playoff game as a likely heavy underdog, expects the Rams to host a home playoff game, and thinks Jerod Mayo could be a one-and-done coach.Dec 31, 2024
“Here are our updated power rankings going into the final week of the 2024 season: NFL Week 17 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs (15-1) ... 32. New York Giants (3-13)”
Scored 98.81a naive guess scored 67.38+33.32 skill
How this was scored
skill:
33.32
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
98.81
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 18 power rankings for the 2024 season, ordering all 32 NFL teams with Kansas City first and the Giants last. Along the way he predicts Washington beats Dallas in Week 18, expects Atlanta to miss the playoffs and Indianapolis to miss as well, says Houston will host a playoff game as a likely heavy underdog, expects the Rams to host a home playoff game, and thinks Jerod Mayo could be a one-and-done coach.Dec 31, 2024
“The Rams have turned things around in the second half of the season and will be back in the postseason... the fact that they will be hosting a home playoff game is pretty wild”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 18 power rankings for the 2024 season, ordering all 32 NFL teams with Kansas City first and the Giants last. Along the way he predicts Washington beats Dallas in Week 18, expects Atlanta to miss the playoffs and Indianapolis to miss as well, says Houston will host a playoff game as a likely heavy underdog, expects the Rams to host a home playoff game, and thinks Jerod Mayo could be a one-and-done coach.Dec 31, 2024
“Houston will still host a playoff game in Round 1, but don't be surprised if it is a heavy underdog in that matchup.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.06
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 14 power rankings place Detroit first and Jacksonville last, and along the way he calls the Ravens and Broncos playoff-bound, the Seahawks heavy favorites in the NFC West, the Saints eliminated, and the Giants/Jaguars in contention for the No. 1 pick.Dec 3, 2024
“Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 14 of the 2024 season”
Scored 98.15a naive guess scored 67.38+39.39 skill
How this was scored
skill:
39.39
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
98.15
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.28
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 14 power rankings place Detroit first and Jacksonville last, and along the way he calls the Ravens and Broncos playoff-bound, the Seahawks heavy favorites in the NFC West, the Saints eliminated, and the Giants/Jaguars in contention for the No. 1 pick.Dec 3, 2024
“Baltimore is a sure-fire playoff team, but it clearly isn't the same regular-season team we saw last year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.28
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 14 power rankings place Detroit first and Jacksonville last, and along the way he calls the Ravens and Broncos playoff-bound, the Seahawks heavy favorites in the NFC West, the Saints eliminated, and the Giants/Jaguars in contention for the No. 1 pick.Dec 3, 2024
“The Denver Broncos are a near-lock to make the postseason”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+128 skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
skill:
128
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.28
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 7, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and adds that the Texans could wrap up the AFC South by Thanksgiving, the Steelers should make the playoffs, the Cardinals are not a playoff team, and Mason Rudolph will eventually replace Will Levis as the Titans' starter.Oct 15, 2024
“Pittsburgh isn’t a great team, but it has a clear identity and should still wind up being a playoff team.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 7, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and adds that the Texans could wrap up the AFC South by Thanksgiving, the Steelers should make the playoffs, the Cardinals are not a playoff team, and Mason Rudolph will eventually replace Will Levis as the Titans' starter.Oct 15, 2024
“It feels like it’s only a matter of time before Mason Rudolph replaces him in the starting lineup.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-13.92 skill
How this was scored
club:
TEN
skill:
-13.92
player:
Mason Rudolph
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.67
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into Week 7, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and adds that the Texans could wrap up the AFC South by Thanksgiving, the Steelers should make the playoffs, the Cardinals are not a playoff team, and Mason Rudolph will eventually replace Will Levis as the Titans' starter.Oct 15, 2024
“Here is our full set of power rankings heading into Week 7: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”
Scored 89.7a naive guess scored 67.38+37.28 skill
How this was scored
skill:
37.28
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
89.7
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs.Oct 8, 2024
“they look like a sure-fire playoff team this season”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs.Oct 8, 2024
“Here is our full set of rankings coming out of the fifth week of action: NFL Week 6 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”
Scored 89a naive guess scored 67.38+37.2 skill
How this was scored
skill:
37.2
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
89
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs.Oct 8, 2024
“coach Brian Callahan is adamant that Will Levis will start when he is 100 percent healthy”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
TEN
skill:
0
player:
Will Levis
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
1.72
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs.Oct 8, 2024
“The Vikings are absolutely a legit playoff contender”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
skill:
172
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs.Oct 8, 2024
“Chicago might be the worst team in the NFC North, but this should be a playoff team this year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
-172
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams entering Week 3 of the 2024 season, with the Chiefs on top and the Panthers last, and mixes in forecasts: the Bills winning the AFC East, the Texans potentially reaching the AFC Championship, the Steelers starting 4-0 and winning the AFC North, the Saints and Buccaneers as playoff teams, the Cardinals as an NFC sleeper, and the Jaguars falling to 0-3.Sep 17, 2024
“NFL Week 3 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers”
Scored 74.3a naive guess scored 67.38+13.09 skill
How this was scored
skill:
13.09
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
74.3
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams entering Week 3 of the 2024 season, with the Chiefs on top and the Panthers last, and mixes in forecasts: the Bills winning the AFC East, the Texans potentially reaching the AFC Championship, the Steelers starting 4-0 and winning the AFC North, the Saints and Buccaneers as playoff teams, the Cardinals as an NFC sleeper, and the Jaguars falling to 0-3.Sep 17, 2024
“Don't look now, but the Buccaneers and the Saints both look like legitimate playoff teams this year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
skill:
-189
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams entering Week 3 of the 2024 season, with the Chiefs on top and the Panthers last, and mixes in forecasts: the Bills winning the AFC East, the Texans potentially reaching the AFC Championship, the Steelers starting 4-0 and winning the AFC North, the Saints and Buccaneers as playoff teams, the Cardinals as an NFC sleeper, and the Jaguars falling to 0-3.Sep 17, 2024
“Don't look now, but the Buccaneers and the Saints both look like legitimate playoff teams this year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams entering Week 3 of the 2024 season, with the Chiefs on top and the Panthers last, and mixes in forecasts: the Bills winning the AFC East, the Texans potentially reaching the AFC Championship, the Steelers starting 4-0 and winning the AFC North, the Saints and Buccaneers as playoff teams, the Cardinals as an NFC sleeper, and the Jaguars falling to 0-3.Sep 17, 2024
“With the Bills up next, the Jaguars are looking at a possible 0-3 start.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
10-47
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 2 power rankings place the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Panthers last. Along the way he suggests the Chargers look like a potential wild-card team, the Buccaneers could win the NFC South again, the Patriots may not be a playoff team, and Drew Lock will eventually replace Daniel Jones as the Giants' starter.Sep 10, 2024
“The Chargers are still a year away from being a legit contender in the AFC, but they have the look of a potential wild-card team right away.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
194
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 2 power rankings place the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Panthers last. Along the way he suggests the Chargers look like a potential wild-card team, the Buccaneers could win the NFC South again, the Patriots may not be a playoff team, and Drew Lock will eventually replace Daniel Jones as the Giants' starter.Sep 10, 2024
“It feels like it's only a matter of when, not if, Drew Lock will take over for Jones under center.”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.17 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
-16.17
player:
Drew Lock
season:
2024
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
1.94
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 2 power rankings place the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Panthers last. Along the way he suggests the Chargers look like a potential wild-card team, the Buccaneers could win the NFC South again, the Patriots may not be a playoff team, and Drew Lock will eventually replace Daniel Jones as the Giants' starter.Sep 10, 2024
“NFL Week 2 Power Rankings — 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Carolina Panthers”
Scored 72.12a naive guess scored 67.38+9.21 skill
How this was scored
skill:
9.21
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
72.12
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“Derek Carr is the starter in New Orleans”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NO
skill:
0
player:
Derek Carr
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“the offense for the Rams is good enough to get them back to the postseason in 2024”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“NFL Week 1 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”
Scored 71.55a naive guess scored 67.38+8.36 skill
How this was scored
skill:
8.36
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
71.55
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“If he can stay healthy for 15 or more games, the Jets will be in the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
skill:
-200
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“Gardner Minshew is the starter in Las Vegas, but don't expect the leash to be very long.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
LV
skill:
0
player:
Gardner Minshew
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
position:
QB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“That is until Maye eventually takes over.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
16.67
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“Bo Nix is the Denver Broncos' Week 1 starter”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
DEN
skill:
16.67
player:
Bo Nix
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher's Week 1 power rankings put the Chiefs first, 49ers second and Lions third, with the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts double-digit wins for Buffalo, a playoff return for the Rams, a Jets playoff berth if Rodgers stays healthy, calls the Bears an NFC sleeper, and says New England's offense will be the league's worst.Sep 3, 2024
“look for Josh Allen to find a way to post double-digit wins again”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 35+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
9.75
skill:
10
what happened:
13
season:
2024
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
35
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft.Aug 5, 2024
“they have a quality roster and should make it back to the postseason in 2024”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft.Aug 5, 2024
“are likely to start a rookie quarterback in Drake Maye”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
16.67
player:
Drake Maye
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
QB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
passing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft.Aug 5, 2024
“it wouldn't be a surprise if they only win five or so games this year”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 65-130 skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
naive:
8.25
skill:
-130
what happened:
10
season:
2024
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
65
predicted:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft.Aug 5, 2024
“Today, we are ranking all 32 teams from 1 to 32 heading into the preseason.”
Scored 71.04a naive guess scored 67.38+7.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
7.33
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
71.04
baseline:
67.38
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
32
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft.Aug 5, 2024
“Expect the Bills to win double-digit games again this season and be a legit contender in the AFC.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 35+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
9.75
skill:
10
what happened:
13
season:
2024
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
35
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher ranks all 32 NFL teams heading into the 2024 preseason, with the Chiefs first and the Patriots last. Along the way he predicts the Chiefs reach at least the AFC Championship Game, the Bills win double-digit games, the Steelers hover around 10 wins, the Broncos win about five games, the Buccaneers return to the postseason, and the Patriots earn the No. 1 pick in the 2025 draft.Aug 5, 2024
“the improved offensive line should allow them to hover around 10 wins once again”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
9.25
skill:
30
what happened:
10
season:
2024
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.May 21, 2024
“If the Broncos get average play from Nix this season, Mims has a chance to be a 1,000-yard receiver in Payton's offense.”
Scored 0.6a naive guess scored 51.47-101.75 skill
How this was scored
naive:
380.95
skill:
-101.75
what happened:
503
player:
Marvin Mims Jr.
season:
2024
accuracy:
0.6
baseline:
51.47
predicted:
1000
statistic:
receiving_yards
difficulty:
2
last season:
377
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
384.91
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.May 21, 2024
“It wouldn't be a shock if he was Denver's No. 1 receiver by the end of the season.”
Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 100-33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
DEN
skill:
-33.33
player:
Marvin Mims Jr.
season:
2024
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
100
position:
WR
naive slot:
3
actual slot:
3
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.May 21, 2024
“rookie Malik Nabers gives the New York Giants a No. 1 receiver”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
NYG
skill:
16.67
player:
Malik Nabers
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.67
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
1
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.May 21, 2024
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 0+116.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
116.67
player:
Drake London
season:
2024
zero at:
12
accuracy:
58.33
baseline:
0
position:
WR
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
42
actual finish:
6
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Mosher names four breakout wide receiver candidates for 2024: Drake London, Khalil Shakir, Wan'Dale Robinson and Marvin Mims. He suggests London could see around 150 targets and lead the NFL in catches and yards, and that Mims could reach 1,000 receiving yards and become Denver's No. 1 receiver by season's end.May 21, 2024
“It won't be a shock to see him lead the NFL in catches and yards this season.”
Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 0+116.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
116.67
player:
Drake London
season:
2024
zero at:
12
accuracy:
58.33
baseline:
0
position:
WR
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
42
actual finish:
6
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?