Brian Peacock· Mar 3, 2026
Peacock expects Thieneman to be drafted ahead of Emmanuel McNeil Warren after the combine, thinks Jacob Rodriguez will be off the board by the 49ers' second-round pick (high second or even first round), believes Sonny Styles won't last to the 49ers' first-round slot, and floats Jesse Bates ending up in San Francisco via trade or free agency.
“I still think my dark horse for the forty niners is they end up with Jesse Bates in some sort of a trade.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On 49ers (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks, 1 prospect vs prospect call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksJacob RodriguezMar 3, 2026
Jacob Rodriguez to be picked “high second round even maybe even into the first round” (picks 1–64)
“He's not going to the fourth round. He's not going to the third round either. He might go like Carson's he might be this year's Carson Swessinger where he's creeping up high second round even maybe even into the first round with the way he worked out.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jacob Rodriguez
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 43
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- high second round even maybe even into the first round (picks 1–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 3, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Now they don't have to worry about Sonny Styles being there in the first round because he went crazy at the combine”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Prospect vs Prospect CallsDillon ThienemanMar 3, 2026
Dillon Thieneman to be drafted ahead of Emmanuel McNeil Warren
“even though before the combine, he was being mocked higher than Dylan Thieneman. Maybe Thieneman goes higher, but maybe that means Emmanuel Mc McNeil Warren is there for the San Francisco forty niners.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Dillon Thieneman drafted ahead of Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Dillon Thieneman went 25, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren went 58
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Jessie Bates to move to San Francisco 49ers
“I still think my dark horse for the forty niners is they end up with Jesse Bates in some sort of a trade.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike TannenbaumTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsMiss · 0Tannenbaum argues the Chiefs should lean on the run game early while Mahomes recovers, says the Bills haven't done enough at receiver and would repeat their playoff shortcoming, expects AJ Brown to have a massive impact in New England, thinks George Pickens will earn a big raise, and offers free-agent fits: Deebo Samuel to Buffalo, Joey Bosa to Tampa Bay, Taylor Decker to Houston, and Stefon Diggs to San Francisco.
- Evan SilvaFantasy Defense Calls · San Francisco 49ersMiss · 0In his 2020 fantasy defense/special teams rankings, Silva puts the Steelers first, the 49ers second and the Ravens third, citing pass rush, favorable early schedules and game scripts.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Previewing the NFL's Australia game in Week 1, Middlekauff picks the underdog 49ers to beat the Rams, arguing San Francisco's long acclimation trip and Kyle Shanahan's edge over Sean McVay make them a live dog.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports piece flags five Week 1 underdogs as upset candidates: the 49ers over the Rams in Melbourne, the Texans over the Bills, the Panthers over the Bears, the Jets over the Titans, and the Broncos over the Chiefs on Monday night.
- Richard ShermanScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersClose · 60Sherman picked Seattle to beat New England 28-17 in the opener, ran through score picks for the rest of the week one slate (49ers, Cowboys, Bills, Bears, Vikings, Colts, Broncos), said the Seahawks would also beat the Cardinals, Commanders and Chargers, backed Dallas to win its division, and predicted Christian Gonzalez's deal would come in barely above Devon Witherspoon's.
- Eva GeitheimGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Geitheim's Week 1 straight-up picks for all 16 games.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rob RangMock Draft Picks · Jeremiah SmithMiss · 0Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Brandon DoughtyMiss · 3Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
- Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks · Gennings DunkerHit · 100Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Eli HeidenreichHit · 100Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Riley NowakowskiMiss · 13In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.
- Damian ParsonMock Draft Picks · Zachariah BranchHit · 100Locked On's draft analyst laid out where several prospects should land in the upcoming draft: Zachariah Branch as a Day 2/third-round target for the Chargers, Penn State's top offensive lineman gone well before pick 22 (ideally 14 to Baltimore), Akeem Mesador and Malachi Lawrence as first-round edge rushers, Derrick Moore as a Day 2 edge, and Texas's left tackle as a top-10 pick next year.