Nick Wright· Dec 24, 2025
On the Christmas-week gambling show, Nick Wright made five picks and, in doing so, predicted outright wins for Dallas (a blowout of Washington), Jacksonville over Indianapolis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland, Buffalo over Philadelphia and Chicago over San Francisco, plus a Rams win at Atlanta and a Tampa Bay win at Miami. He also said Philadelphia will end up as the No. 3 seed.
“Dallas is gonna blow out the Commanders.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 37.5 out of 100, against 62.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersDec 24, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland
“All lay the four points with Pittsburgh. I got no problem with that.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CLE
- score:
- 6-13
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksDallas CowboysDec 24, 2025
Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington
“They're gonna move the ball. Dallas is gonna blow out the Commanders. I love the Cowboys minus six and a half”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DAL
- score:
- 30-23
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsDec 24, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indy
“you got Jacksonville minus six and a half at Indy... The Jags are playing for a lot as far as locking up the division... But I'll take the six and a half.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 23-17
- skill:
- 111
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldPhiladelphia EaglesDec 24, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed
“they're the two or the three seed, and they are probably the three seed”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- checked as:
- seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
- actual tier:
- host
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (host)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 3
- claimed tier:
- host
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsDec 24, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Philly
“I think Buffalo is a lot better than Philly. They're at home... I'll take Buffalo”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 13-12
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsDec 24, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat San Francisco
“I think the Bears can win that game outright.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 38-42
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsDec 24, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Atlanta
“we got the Rams at Atlanta. Atlanta's eight point dogs. That line's exactly right. I'm sure to win by about a touchdown”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersDec 24, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Miami
“you got Tampa Bay at Miami... They should win... assuming Tampa's gonna beat Miami”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-111 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 17-20
- skill:
- -111
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
What others said about the same people
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Ameer AbdullahHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Cole PaytonHit · 100Kerr ranks the Eagles' 2025 draft picks by cut risk, predicting seventh-rounders Keyshawn James-Newby and Cole Wisniewski land on the practice squad, while Cole Payton, Uar Bernard, Makai Lemon, Eli Stowers and Markel Bell make the 53. He also says Lemon starts Week 1 and Bell is the right tackle of the future.
- Bryan DeArdoRoster Spot Calls · Drew AllarHit · 100A CBS Sports piece lays out Pittsburgh's quarterback pecking order: Aaron Rodgers starts, Mason Rudolph is the No. 2, rookie Drew Allar sits at No. 3 and Will Howard is fourth, with the Steelers expected to keep all four quarterbacks on the initial 53-man roster rather than trading Howard.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Ar'maj Reed-AdamsMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Rocco UnderwoodMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
- Jeff CavanaughRoster Spot Calls · Curtis RobinsonMiss · 0Building his projected Cowboys 53-man roster on defense, Jeff keeps five interior linemen (Kenny Clark, Quentin, Tito Obonia, LT Overton, Bullard), six edge rushers including Von Miller, Malachi Lawrence and Marist Liufau while cutting Sam Williams, four linebackers with Jayshawn Barham starting, six corners including rookie Devin Moore, and four safeties including Marquise Bell.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Sherman picked winners and several exact scores across the Week 3 slate, favoring Seattle, San Francisco, Cincinnati, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina, New Orleans, Baltimore, the Rams, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Kansas City, Minnesota, the Giants, Jacksonville and Houston, and named Kenneth Walker his MVP.
- Bill HuberGame Outcome Picks · Green Bay PackersMiss · 0Huber forecasts the Packers starting 3-4 through seven games — losing at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, beating the Jets and Falcons, losing to the Bears — and finishing the season with about eight wins.
- Patricia TrainaGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In her weekly Giants mailbag, Traina said the Giants would beat the Rams if Los Angeles didn't play its best, predicted Aaron Donald wouldn't play a full game Monday night, and said she doesn't expect Paulson Adebo to still be with the Giants in 2027.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Garrett PodellGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsMiss · 0In a Week 2 bold-predictions piece, CBS Sports predicts the Giants will upset the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, dropping Los Angeles to 0-2, and that Colts quarterback Daniel Jones will throw multiple touchdowns on Sunday Night Football at Kansas City.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.