Pat Gustavson· Mar 2, 2026
Gustafson predicts Kyler Murray and Tua will be starters next year, that Malik Willis gets a shot to start, that Kenyon Saddiq goes as a top-10 pick and is the best tight end in the class, and that Jahmyr Gibbs will be a top-two fantasy pick — possibly No. 1 overall — next season.
“I'm saying right now, at worst, Jameer Gibbs is a top two pick in Fantasy next year.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 fantasy ranking, 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 88.6 out of 100, against 32.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Their call against what happened
positional finishTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be 1st tight end off the board
“Best tight end in the class.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.51+84.49 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 22 at random averages 15.51
- skill:
- 84.49
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 15.51
- position:
- tight end
- class size:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMar 2, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 10 pick or or very close to it” (picks 1–10)
“Kenyon Saddiq Mhmm. Of Oregon who will clearly be a top 10 pick or or very close to it.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- top 10 pick or or very close to it (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Depth Chart CallsTua TagovailoaMar 2, 2026
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
“I predicted last week that Tua and Kyler would be starters and I still believe that”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsMalik WillisMar 2, 2026
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Malik Willis will almost certainly That's right. Get a shot to start.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsAaron JonesMar 2, 2026
Aaron Jones to move
“doesn't seem like Aaron Jones is gonna find a trade partner”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Trade and Signing CallsMaxx CrosbyMar 2, 2026
Maxx Crosby to move
“As sad as it makes me, I think they need to do it just because he's not gonna be there when they peak... But, yeah, I think he's gotta go.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Fantasy RankingsMar 2, 2026
“If the Lions do not bring in a significant running back, I'd take Jameer Gibbs over Bijon Robinson.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Depth Chart CallsKyler MurrayMar 2, 2026
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
“I predicted last week that Tua and Kyler would be starters and I still believe that, especially Kyler.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Ralph VacchianoDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Vacchiano ranks all 32 NFL teams entering the 2026 season, with the Rams first and Dolphins last. He also flags the Giants as a potential surprise team with a top-10 defense, and notes Deshaun Watson won Cleveland's QB job while Tua Tagovailoa starts Week 1 in Atlanta.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100Fitzmaurice touts Kyler Murray as a value QB who will start Week 1 for Minnesota, Tyler Shough as the Saints' undisputed starter, and Juwan Johnson and Terrance Ferguson as late-round tight end targets.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to be Minnesota's Week 1 starter and calls him one of the better quarterback values in 2026 drafts; he also views Jordan Love as a top-10 real-life quarterback but only a QB2 in fantasy.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100Fitzmaurice expects Kyler Murray to open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback and to be one of the better quarterback values in 2026 fantasy drafts, and he likewise likes Tyler Shough as New Orleans' entrenched starter with an easy schedule.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0The unsigned Pick Six newsletter expects Seth McLaughlin to step into the Lions' starting center job with Cade Mays injured, and suggests Tua Tagovailoa is on track to be Atlanta's Week 1 starting quarterback.
- Matt OkadaDepth Chart Calls · Kyler MurrayHit · 100In a PPR-framed fantasy draft guide, Okada makes a few non-fantasy claims: rookie Jeremiyah Love will be Arizona's featured back despite being listed as RB2, Tua Tagovailoa will be Atlanta's Week 1 starter, and Kyler Murray will open the season as Minnesota's starting quarterback.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Drew LockMiss · 0In an unsigned Week 2 odds roundup, the piece states that with Sam Darnold hurt, Drew Lock will likely start at quarterback for Seattle against Arizona.
- Steven RuizDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Miss · 0In a retrospective tiering of all 32 starting quarterbacks, Ruiz treats Michael Penix Jr. as the Falcons' Week 1 starter over Kirk Cousins, whom he places in his lowest tier.
- Mike FlorioDepth Chart Calls · Shedeur SandersMiss · 0Florio reports the Browns will start Deshaun Watson in Week 1 but predicts Shedeur Sanders will likely be the starting quarterback by Week 3.
- Nathan JahnkeDepth Chart Calls · Jalen TolbertMiss · 0PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a large number of depth-chart, role and fantasy-value calls across the league, including Chig Okonkwo as a top sleeper tight end, Tre Tucker as the Raiders' top receiver, and various backfield hierarchies.
- Emmett MatasovskyDepth Chart Calls · Christian IzienMiss · 0Matasovsky says Dobbs is currently leading the backup quarterback race and suggests Christian Izien may be pressed into a starting safety role in Week 1 while Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph rehab.
- Nathan JahnkeDepth Chart Calls · Jalen TolbertMiss · 0PFF's fantasy football preseason recap projects depth-chart outcomes, roster spots and fantasy value for numerous players across several preseason games, including Chig Okonkwo's expanded role in Washington, Ja'Kobi Lane as Baltimore's WR3, Malachi Fields winning the Giants' starting X job, and Zachariah Branch being a fantasy bust relative to his late-round cost.