Gargano expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick to the Raiders, sees Kenyon Sadiq as a top-15 tight end pick (his own guess around 14-15, and no later than Carolina at 19), and rolls through a mock draft placing several prospects. He also thinks Ty Simpson is the second QB off the board and only one QB goes in the first round.

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas RaidersFeb 28, 2026

  Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

  “So, Raiders, obviously mendoza. That's done”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Fernando Mendoza

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  1

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  100

  predicted pick:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqFeb 28, 2026

  Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top fifteen” (picks 1–15)

  “My guess is he again? I think top fifteen for sure... because I have him around fourteen to fifteen”

  Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  a shuffled mock scores 50

  player:

  Kenyon Sadiq

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  32

  accuracy:

  95.76

  baseline:

  50

  actual pick:

  16

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  pick accuracy:

  95.76

  predicted pick:

  top fifteen (picks 1–15)

  weeks left when called:

  0

  mock ordering score:

  only one pick — no order to score

  Think this is wrong?

• Position Order CallsTy SimpsonFeb 28, 2026

  Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board

  “but is Ty Simpson the second quarterback off the board?”

  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
  How this was scored

  draft:

  2026

  naive:

  naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7

  skill:

  60.3

  player:

  Ty Simpson

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  credit halves every two places

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  39.7

  position:

  quarterback

  class size:

  10

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual order:

  2

  predicted order:

  2

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqCarolina PanthersFeb 28, 2026

  Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “there's no way he gets past nineteen”

  “So carolina would be the back End For SADIQ”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?