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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
96.62% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Pro Football Focus’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 3 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
626–650 of 1,021
61 / 1,021
graded
960 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost
Jacksonville Jaguars: Parker Washington — Parker Washington thrived in an expanded role after Travis Hunter's injury.
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Dominick Puni to outplay his draft cost
San Francisco 49ers: Dominick Puni ... Entering his third NFL season, he has a chance to establish himself as a top-15 guard.
Dominick PuniSan Francisco 49ers
Charlie Kolar to outplay his draft cost
Los Angeles Chargers: Charlie Kolar ... has the skill set to be a complete player in the Chargers' offense.
Charlie KolarLos Angeles Chargers
Aireontae Ersery to outplay his draft cost
Houston Texans: Aireontae Ersery ... there were plenty of encouraging signs during his rookie campaign.
Aireontae ErseryHouston Texans
Isaac TeSlaa to outplay his draft cost
Detroit Lions: Isaac TeSlaa — Isaac TeSlaa flashed impressive ball skills as a rookie.
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost
With an improved offensive line in front of him and a better situation at quarterback, Jeanty should have an easier time producing at a higher level in his second season.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Gunnar Helm to outplay his draft cost
With Chigoziem Okonkwo no longer on the roster ... Helm has a clear opportunity to take on a much larger role.
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost
Carolina Panthers: Jalen Coker ... 2026 presents an opportunity for him to earn more recognition as a versatile secondary option.
Darnell Washington to outplay his draft cost
2026 could be the year he gets more national attention as one of the better players at the position.
Darnell WashingtonPittsburgh Steelers
Edgerrin Cooper to outplay his draft cost
Green Bay Packers: Edgerrin Cooper — Another strong campaign could put him firmly in the conversation as one of the league's top linebackers.
Edgerrin CooperGreen Bay Packers
Moro Ojomo to outplay his draft cost
As he enters a contract year, don't be surprised if Ojomo starts to draw much more attention if he maintains that level of production.
Deone Walker to outplay his draft cost
Buffalo Bills: Deone Walker ... A full NFL offseason should give him the opportunity to take another step forward and make an even bigger impact along the interior of the Bills' defensive line.
Donovan Ezeiruaku to outplay his draft cost
Dallas Cowboys: Donovan Ezeiruaku — Expectations are high for Donovan Ezeiruaku entering his second NFL season.
Donovan EzeiruakuDallas Cowboys
Dylan Fairchild to outplay his draft cost
Cincinnati Bengals: Dylan Fairchild ... He is capable of developing into the Bengals' best offensive lineman by the end of the 2026 season.
Dylan FairchildCincinnati Bengals
Walter Nolen to outplay his draft cost
Arizona Cardinals: Walter Nolen ... if he can, there's a chance he emerges as Arizona's best defensive player by the end of the season.
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost
Cleveland Browns: Harold Fannin Jr. ... his 3.77 yards per route run in his final college season was always a sign he could be a star in the NFL.
Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns
Isaac TeSlaa to be 3rd on the depth chart
with Kalif Raymond no longer on the roster, there is a clear path for him to emerge as the No. 3 wide receiver in the offense.
Quinshon Judkins to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 5.03)
Quinshon Judkins , Cleveland Browns (ADP: 5.03) ... These three backs have a clear path to career-best seasons and are being drafted late enough to offer significant upside at their current ADPs.
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 11.02)
making him one of the top breakout candidates at running back this season
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 10.12)
Croskey-Merritt has a much clearer path to carries than his 10th-round ADP suggests.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
A healthy Jonathon Brooks should lead the Carolina Panthers backfield ... he has a clear path to becoming Carolina's lead back.
Quinshon Judkins to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
an improved offensive line and expanded workload should give him a realistic path to a top-15 fantasy season
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to be 1st on the depth chart
Jacory Croskey-Merritt remains atop Washington's backfield ... providing further evidence that he enters the season as the team's primary early-down back.
Joe Alt to be 1st on the depth chart
Both are expected to return to the starting lineup in 2026, giving Los Angeles what could be the best tackle duo in football.
Rashawn Slater to be 1st on the depth chart
The Chargers got just 312 snaps from Joe Alt last season, with the offensive tackle having already moved from the right side to the left to replace Rashawn Slater, who missed the entire year. Both are expected to return to the starting lineup in 2026
Rashawn SlaterLos Angeles Chargers