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Derek Brown — known around FantasyPros as "DBro" — is a senior fantasy football and NFL analyst for the site, where he writes analysis columns like "The Primer" and co-hosts shows including Sweating Sundays. His work centers on the practical decisions fantasy managers face: rankings, start/sit calls, and detailed player breakdowns. He's also appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. The predictions we've tracked cover the full spectrum of fantasy prep — sleepers and busts, positional finishes, draft rankings, and season stat projections — across teams from the Packers to the Panthers to the Dolphins.
Writes at FantasyPros
Every take from Derek Brown, including the ones still waiting →
Is Derek Brown accurate? Across 114 graded calls in 11 articles, Derek Brown scores 62.71% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 35.62, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
2 of 11 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 4.
Keon Coleman to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)
“when I was writing up the top two fifty players like Kean Coleman fully out”
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost
“I am out on Tyreek Hill. You cannot force me to draft him. I'm not doing it.”
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four)
“So in real time ADP, he's around wide receiver twenty four. I just to me, I don't see any meat on the bone where you're drafting him there.”
Travis Hunter to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty one and seventy fourth overall)
“I have my wide receiver twenty five. I have him at fifty second overall. Right now in real time ADP, he is wide receiver thirty one and seventy fourth overall. I am aggressively ahead”
George Pickens to outplay his draft cost
“I think Pickens is going to be awesome this year... he's playing in a contract year”
Ricky Pearsall to finish top 26 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have moved him up to wide receiver twenty six.”
Xavier Worthy to finish top 36 at his position, by fantasy points
“Will you have him at thirty six... that's why I bumped him up into the wide receiver three range.”
Jalen Coker to finish top 52 at his position, by fantasy points
“So I moved him up. He is my wide receiver fifty two right now.”
Jaylen Waddle to finish top 20 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have Waddle ranked ahead of Tyreek Hill. I have Wattle at wide receiver twenty”
Travis Hunter to finish top 25 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have my wide receiver twenty five. I have him at fifty second overall.”
George Pickens to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have George Pickens ranked as a top fifteen wide receiver.”
Jaylen Waddle to record 100 receptions
“I think we could see him revisit the role that he had in his rookie season and he catches a hundred passes”
Jalen Coker to be 2nd on the depth chart
“he is going to be from the word go, and I'm not being hyperbolic about this, he is the Carolina Panthers wide receiver two”
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver two)
“will you find say Flowers and my players to avoid article Yes, because he was priced as a wide receiver two. I don't want to pay a wide receiver two price tag for him”
Cedric Tillman to fall short of his draft cost
“I'm out on Cedric Tillman. I am so far out on Cedric Tillman.”
Josh Palmer to outplay his draft cost
“I think there's a really big lane an opportunity for Joshua Palmer this year”
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver seventy six)
“Jalen Cocher is the one where you're making that bet for basically free... he's wide receiver seventy six, one hundred and sixty third overall”
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver three)
“In some places his ADP is a wide receiver three. Okay, that's ridiculous. So he's gonna pay off even if AJ Brown stays healthy”
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)
“The guy that I want to make sure I'm leaving almost every single draft with... is Ricky Pearsall... His real time ADP... is wide receiver thirty five.”
Marquise Brown to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)
“Marque's Hollywood Brown Again, all of these guys that are like back of the you know, final round picks for people, count me out on all of them”
Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty three)
“real time ADP he's wide receiver thirty three... I just keep moving him up, Just keep moving them up.”
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three)
“I've got him as a wide receiver two, he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three. And it's Tedo McMillan.”
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (going is the tight end eleven)
“it's Tucker Craft. I mean, going is the tight end eleven... he's gonna have a massive breakout season”
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range)
“Jaquori Crosskey Merritt... He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range... I have him at RB thirty two... he's in that fringe RB two RB three conversation”
George Pickens to outplay his draft cost (he's being drafted as a wide receiver three)
“George Pickens, baby breakout season here... for a player that I'm comfortably ranking him aggressively as a wide receiver two and he's being drafted as a wide receiver three”
George Pickens to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
“Top fifteen wide receiver top. I'm gonna stand on that top fifteen.”
Tetairoa McMillan to record 10 receiving tds
“he could spike ten to twelve touchdowns this year”
Tucker Kraft to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
“And if this all happens, that he could be sniffing like top five, top six type of production this year... the more like high end expectations for him is probably top five, top six”
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP)
“Ricky Piersoll, Like he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP... I want to stay above consensus because I think the breakout is real and it's coming... this guy is heading for a huge season”
Brian Robinson to move
“So I am forecasting that Brian Robertson Junior is cut or traded.”