Derek Brown · Aug 23, 2025
Brown's five-to-one breakout list was Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Tucker Kraft, Ricky Pearsall, George Pickens and Tetairoa McMillan; he forecasts Brian Robinson Jr. being cut or traded, Kraft finishing as a top-five/six tight end, Pickens as a top-15 receiver and McMillan spiking for double-digit touchdowns.
“Top fifteen wide receiver top. I'm gonna stand on that top fifteen.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
9 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesAug 23, 2025
“And if this all happens, that he could be sniffing like top five, top six type of production this year... the more like high end expectations for him is probably top five, top six”
Scored 8.33a naive guess scored 16.67-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Tucker Kraft
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 8.33
- baseline:
- 16.67
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 7
- actual finish:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 6
- Player Season NumbersAug 23, 2025
“he could spike ten to twelve touchdowns this year”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 0+80 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 3.4
- skill:
- 80
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 10
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- no prior season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Positional FinishesAug 23, 2025
“Top fifteen wide receiver top. I'm gonna stand on that top fifteen.”
Scored 8.33a naive guess scored 0+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- George Pickens
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 8.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 41
- actual finish:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 15
- Sleeper CallsAug 23, 2025
“Jaquori Crosskey Merritt... He's sitting in those like RB sixty to seventy range... I have him at RB thirty two... he's in that fringe RB two RB three conversation”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsAug 23, 2025
“it's Tucker Craft. I mean, going is the tight end eleven... he's gonna have a massive breakout season”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsAug 23, 2025
“Ricky Piersoll, Like he's at wide receiver forty two in ADP... I want to stay above consensus because I think the breakout is real and it's coming... this guy is heading for a huge season”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsAug 23, 2025
“I've got him as a wide receiver two, he's still being drafted in so many different formats as a wide receiver three. And it's Tedo McMillan.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Trade and Signing CallsAug 23, 2025
“So I am forecasting that Brian Robertson Junior is cut or traded.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Sleeper CallsAug 23, 2025
“George Pickens, baby breakout season here... for a player that I'm comfortably ranking him aggressively as a wide receiver two and he's being drafted as a wide receiver three”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.