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Derek Brown — known around FantasyPros as "DBro" — is a senior fantasy football and NFL analyst for the site, where he writes analysis columns like "The Primer" and co-hosts shows including Sweating Sundays. His work centers on the practical decisions fantasy managers face: rankings, start/sit calls, and detailed player breakdowns. He's also appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. The predictions we've tracked cover the full spectrum of fantasy prep — sleepers and busts, positional finishes, draft rankings, and season stat projections — across teams from the Packers to the Panthers to the Dolphins.
Writes at FantasyPros
Every take from Derek Brown, including the ones still waiting →
Is Derek Brown accurate? Across 114 graded calls in 11 articles, Derek Brown scores 62.71% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 35.62, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
3 of 11 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 3 of 4.
Jalen Hurts to record 10 rushing tds
“the rushing touchdowns are going anywhere Toush push or not, doesn't matter. He's going to run for ten plus.”
J.J. McCarthy to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“a guy that I think is gonna be a locked in QB one”
Jayden Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart
“he's going to be the starter in two wide receiver sets opposite Nico Collins”
Drake London to outplay his draft cost (round two)
“taking guys in the round two that could have that honestly have Round one type of profiles and could lead their position... Drake London is the guy that I go with here.”
Calvin Ridley to outplay his draft cost (round seven)
“it's Calvin Ridley time. And it's just it's easy, free volume and upside... If cam Ward's good, Calvin Ridley is gonna be very good too.”
Drake London to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
“London could be the wide receiver one overall this year.”
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round at RB two price tags)
“When you can get a guy that was an RB one last year in the fourth round at RB two price tags, you do it all day”
Ashton Jeanty to be 1st on the depth chart
“He's going to be their bellcal running back.”
Ashton Jeanty to record 80 receptions
“he could be a guy that catches eighty balls this year and nobody should be surprised”
Dak Prescott to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“he legitimately could revisit and put up top five numbers this year”
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (fifth round)
“Yes, RJ. Harvey fifth round every single time, auto lock on pick every single time. I'll take him in the fourth.”
Brashard Smith to outplay his draft cost (round fourteen)
“I've been talk about Burshard Smith... the upside is massive here. He could be the Jack McKinnon in this offense... It needs to be drafted a ton of spots.”
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (round six)
“this is a guy you could draft as your wide receiver three for your teams... I think he is going to be a locked in wide receiver two... at this spot in a draft. That is free money.”
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (the beginning of the second)
“He's my twelfth overall player. I want to stay ahead of consensus on a Chan. I think he's worth a first round pick”
Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (round ten)
“So Jayde Higgins, Yes, as a guy you're drafting as your wide receiver five on a lot of different teams. We could be mid season he's producing as a borderline two three for your lineups.”
Romeo Doubs to outplay his draft cost (round thirteen)
“it's Romeo Dobbs... If you look at just his separation metrics on a per route basis, this guy screams like big breakout season coming.”
Dak Prescott to outplay his draft cost (low end QB one price tag some spots high end QB two)
“But Dak Prescott is the guy you can get at a low end QB one price tag some spots high end QB two”
J.J. McCarthy to outplay his draft cost (round eleven)
“it's JJ McCarthy Tom, a guy that I think is gonna be a locked in QB one”
Tre Harris to outplay his draft cost (round twelve)
“it's Trey Harris And I will caveat this with if Keenan Allen does sign there, then I'm going to drop him... Trey Harris is the guy that I want to take from this offense.”
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (eleventh overall)
“If you're looking at ADP on fantasypros dot com right now, he's eleventh overall... sometimes you can get him in round two or at the back end of round one.”
Jakobi Meyers to outplay his draft cost (round eight)
“So yes, draft all the Jacobe Myers.”
Tetairoa McMillan to record 10 receiving tds
“They repeat that this year with Tedroe may Millen at the top. He's spiking ten plus touchdowns.”
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points
“Genty has the receiving upside and the volume upside to be a top three back in his rookie season.”
Trey McBride to outplay his draft cost (third round)
“Trey McBride could be one of those guys again talking about drafting players early that could define leagues... people are saying, dude, why didn't I take trade McBride in the first round”
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (top twenty RB)
“Chuba Hubbard is going to be one of your biggest bus as far as adyp gos top twenty RB in there... So I think we cannot be expecting last year to repat heat”
Kyren Williams to fall short of his draft cost (RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR)
“This is Kieren Williams. He's RB twelve, twenty sixth overall in the ECR. And I can't rank Kien Williams that high... This is not a player that I want to spend an RB one or at least pay an RB one price tag for in Fantasy for twenty twenty five.”
Rashee Rice to be 1st on the depth chart
“because Rashid Rice is the number one, the clear number one in this offense and it's not Worthy”
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six)
“Exavi your worthy, man, it's got to be Exavier worthy. He is going as a top twenty four wide receiver in a lot of different spots right on EASYR Wide Receiver twenty or ADP Wide Receiver twenty six. I can't draft him at that spot.”
Drake Maye to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“I think there's a definitive chance that May is a top twelve quarterback this year... So Drake May could easily be a top twelve quarterback.”
George Pickens to finish top 16 at his position, by fantasy points
“I have George Pickens as a top twenty wide receiver. He's my wide receiver sixteen.”
George Pickens to outplay his draft cost (seventy first overall in ECR wide receiver thirty two)
“it's George Pickens. He is inappropriately priced. I mean he's seventy first overall in ECR wide receiver thirty two.”
Tetairoa McMillan to be 1st on the depth chart
“the pathway for him to be the un like unquestioned wide receiver one alpha in this offense”
Tony Pollard to finish top 15 at his position, by fantasy points
“Tony Pollard could be a top fifteen running back based off a volume in an improved situation.”
Tony Pollard to outplay his draft cost (sixty six overall. He's the RB twenty six in ACR)
“right now he's sixty six overall. He's the RB twenty six in ACR. He's my fifty second overall player. I have him an RB nineteen”
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
“Pollard's the unquestioned leader this backfield.”
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 17 at his position, by fantasy points
“I've got Tedoro mcmillans Wide receiver seventeen thirty.”