LaVar Arrington· Nov 7, 2025
Arrington took Tampa Bay to cover against New England, the Jaguars to cover at Houston, San Francisco with the points against the Rams, and Philadelphia on the moneyline at Green Bay.
“I'm gonna go with Tampa to cover”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsNov 7, 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Texans
“I am going to take the Jags in this one to cover”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 29-36
- skill:
- -150
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 7, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Rams
“Yeah, they won't win by more than that, so I'm gonna take the Niners”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 42-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersNov 7, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Patriots
“I'm gonna take the bucks to cover on this one... I'm gonna go with Tampa to cover”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 28-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesNov 7, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Packers
“I gotta jump on the back of that horse with my boy Q money line.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 10-7
- skill:
- 150
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.5
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 9
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.
- Alain PoupartScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersClose · 71Poupart predicts the 49ers beat the Dolphins 27-17 at Levi's Stadium in Week 2, though he expects the game to be closer than the spread suggests. He also anticipates a larger role for De'Von Achane and a big passing day from Brock Purdy.
- Carter BahnsScore Predictions · Jacksonville JaguarsClose · 50He picks Jacksonville to win in Denver, arguing the market still undervalues the Jaguars and that the Broncos' offense under new play-caller Davis Webb won't score enough to keep pace.
- Cory NidohGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.