LaVar Arrington· Dec 19, 2025
In the Week 16 picks segment, LaVar took the Packers on the money line at Chicago, the Panthers on the money line against Tampa Bay, the Broncos to cover against Jacksonville, the Patriots on the money line at Baltimore, and the 49ers to cover at Indianapolis.
“I'm money lining green bay”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersDec 19, 2025
Carolina Panthers to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers
“I'm on Elon in Carolina sticks picks... that's the second money line for VAR”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CAR
- score:
- 20-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CAR
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersDec 19, 2025
Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago Bears
“The Bears are now the one and a half point favorite... I'm money lining green [bay]. Sticks picks”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-117 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 16-22
- skill:
- -117
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosDec 19, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Jacksonville Jaguars
“Broncos will cover. Stick's picks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- JAX
- score:
- 34-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsDec 19, 2025
New England Patriots to beat Baltimore Ravens
“I'm money Line in New England. Sticks picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 28-24
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersDec 19, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to beat Indianapolis Colts
“Niners will cover oo oo. Sticks picks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 48-27
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
What others said about the same people
- Scott KennedyScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Expects the Falcons to fall to 0-2 in Cooper Rush starts, losing 24-13 to Carolina.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Garrett ChapmanScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 50Thinks Atlanta matches up well but still falls short, picking Carolina 23-20.
- Jerry JonesScore Predictions · Carolina PanthersClose · 52Predicts Carolina pulls away from Atlanta, with the Falcons defense keeping it close early, in a 27-16 Panthers win.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.
- Cory NidohGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans.
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.