LaVar Arrington· Oct 17, 2025
Arrington's Week 7 picks: Rams over the Jaguars, Vikings on the money line against the Eagles, Chargers over the Colts, Buccaneers getting points at Detroit, and the Texans on the money line at Seattle.
“I'm going to take the Texans as a money line.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 20 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Lions
“I'm gonna take the points on this one with the bucks Man.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 9-24
- skill:
- -167
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansOct 17, 2025
Houston Texans to beat Seahawks
“The Texans after that Jaguars game seem to have woken up... I'm going to take the Texans as a money line.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 19-27
- skill:
- -167
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles ChargersOct 17, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Colts
“I gotta go with the Chargers. Man, I'm gonna go with the Chargers.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 38-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAC
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsOct 17, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to beat Eagles
“I can money line them. They're the underdog... I'm going to money line and say that they're going to win.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 28-22
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 17, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to beat Jaguars
“I'm gonna take the Rams to cover sticks picks”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 35-7
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- JAX
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
What others said about the same people
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense.
- Rich EisenGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.
- Nick ShookGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Shook said he would take the Steelers and Jaguars to win outright on the road, still expects the Chargers to beat the Raiders, and thinks Baltimore's run game will turn the Saints game into a double-digit Ravens win.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.