Nick Wright

Nick Wright covers the NFL with a focus on quarterback evaluations and team rankings. His predictions span game outcomes, draft positions, season win totals, and player awards, with particular attention to the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Chicago Bears. He weighs in on questions like Patrick Mahomes versus Josh Allen and the trajectory of young quarterbacks like Caleb Williams and Drake Maye.

Writes at Fox Sports

Every take from Nick Wright, including the ones still waiting →

Is Nick Wright accurate? Across 419 graded calls in 63 articles, Nick Wright scores 57.7% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.85, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

57.7%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

6.85

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

419

Graded calls

across 63 articles. 384 more not yet settled.

93.44% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 419

9 of 71 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 5 of 13.

The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.5 graded calls · Jan 25, 2026
- Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
  “I would be stunned if the winner of this game does not win the Super Bowl... I just believe I think this is the Rams year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAR
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  champion:
  SEA
  runner up:
  NE

Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.7 graded calls · Jan 24, 2026

Los Angeles Rams to win
“Rams went outright thirty one twenty. ... The Rams, record notwithstanding, have been the best team in are better than the Seattle Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
27-31
skill:
-100
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to win
“I've got the Bronco. ... The Broncos crowd and the Broncos defense carries them to a seventeen thirteen, seventeen fourteen type of victory.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
10-7
skill:
0
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 17 — New England 16
“17 Denver. 16 New England. Hard to get to 16, but they could do it. ... One touchdown, three field goals.”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 47.69-2.45 skill
How this was scored
score:
10-7
skill:
-2.45
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 31 — Seattle Seahawks 20
“Rams went outright thirty one twenty. Thirty one twenty.”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 95.3-61.97 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-31
skill:
-61.97
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
95.3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
“Well, they're a game from the Super Bowl. So and I'm and I'm picking him to go to it. And even though they have a backup quarterback”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
they picked:
DEN
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
“And so I just I I do believe the winner of this game is gonna win the Super Bowl, but I believe the Rams are the better team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“he's about to be named league MVP ... I think that if he wins this weekend, coach, and I'm right that he's gonna win the MVP”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Matthew Stafford
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
yes
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Nick Wright picked the Bills to beat the Broncos comfortably in Denver, 27-13, called it his favorite pick of the weekend, and also picked Seattle to beat San Francisco, New England to beat Houston, the Rams to blow out the Bears 42-27, and Miami to win the national championship game outright over Indiana.4 graded calls · Jan 17, 2026

Buffalo Bills 27 — Broncos 13
“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen, and it's not some close classic... That's my official prediction for how the Broncos season ends.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 97.69-73.88 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-33
skill:
-73.88
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
97.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to win
“I'll say twenty four twenty or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England... So I'll lay the three points with the Pats.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
16-28
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 42 — Bears 27
“But I think it ends for the Bears this weekend. And I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 47.69+23.74 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-17
skill:
23.74
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
71.43
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
15
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to win
“And then I am taking the the Niners plus seven at Seattle. I also expect Seattle to win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
6-41
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Nick trusts Josh Allen over the Broncos defense, picks the Bills to win outright in Denver (Bills +1.5 as his lock), picks the Patriots to beat the Texans by more than three, likes the 49ers to keep it close but not win, and predicts the Rams blow out the Bears roughly 42-28 with Stafford throwing about five TDs.6 graded calls · Jan 17, 2026

New England Patriots to win
“But the right pick is Patriots minus three.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
16-28
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
“who do I trust, you know, in the fourth quarter of a playoff game... my list would be Patrick one, Stafford two, Allen three.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-50 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a coin-flip ordering scores 50
skill:
-50
placed:
3
season:
2025
players:
3
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
by position:
QB 3: 0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
could not place:
0
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 42 — Bears 28
“I think the Rams are gonna score 40 points... This feels to me like 42 to 28. So I will take the Rams minus four and a half.”
Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 47.69+26.12 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-17
skill:
26.12
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
73.81
baseline:
47.69
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to win
“Bills Bills are the better team... I think Josh Allen's about to dog walk them. Bills plus one and a half.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
30-33
skill:
-100
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Matthew Stafford to record 5 passing tds
“I think Stafford could have five touchdown passes.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
naive:
16.82
skill:
0
what happened:
46
player:
Matthew Stafford
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
5
statistic:
passing_tds
difficulty:
1
last season:
20
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
position average:
13.64
zero at percent out:
50
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to win
“Niners plus seven. I don't think the Niners are gonna win, but I also think that they are going to be able to keep it close.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
6-41
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?

Nick Wright Predictions: Record, Accuracy, Every Take, page 5 | MissedTakes