Nick Wright· Jan 21, 2026
Nick Wright predicted Aaron Rodgers' Steelers loss was the de facto end of his career, that he won't be a Week 1 starter anywhere next year, and made a series of playoff picks including Bills 27-13 over Denver, Niners covering +7 at Seattle, Patriots beating Houston, Rams 42-27 over Chicago, and Miami covering/winning outright in the National Championship. He also predicted Mike Tomlin would be the Eagles' head coach in a year and that the Giants will be around .500 next season with John Harbaugh.
“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 2 score predictions and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 53.8 out of 100, against 77.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsJan 21, 2026
Buffalo Bills 27 — Denver 13
“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 97.69-73.88 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -73.88
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 14
- Season Win TotalsNew York GiantsJan 21, 2026
New York Giants to finish with 8 wins
“I do think that all of a sudden, the Giants could be a five hundred ish team next year”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 65-45 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- -45
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 21, 2026
New England Patriots to beat Houston
“I'll say twenty four twenty or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England, and I think ... so I will take New England minus the three”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsJan 21, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 42 — Bears 27
“And I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 47.69+23.74 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 23.74
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 71.43
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 15
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksJan 21, 2026
Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco
“And then I am taking the the Niners plus seven at Seattle. I also expect Seattle to win.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
- Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 71Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Giants 27-17 on Monday night.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsHit · 86Prisco picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-14.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 69Dajani picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 55Breech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from his hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and he picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. He also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.
- Cory NidohGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans.