What's Wright with Nick Wright · Jan 21, 2026
Nick Wright predicted Aaron Rodgers' Steelers loss was the de facto end of his career, that he won't be a Week 1 starter anywhere next year, and made a series of playoff picks including Bills 27-13 over Denver, Niners covering +7 at Seattle, Patriots beating Houston, Rams 42-27 over Chicago, and Miami covering/winning outright in the National Championship. He also predicted Mike Tomlin would be the Eagles' head coach in a year and that the Giants will be around .500 next season with John Harbaugh.
“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsJan 21, 2026
“This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen”
Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 97.69-73.88 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- -73.88
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 23.81
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 14
- Season Win TotalsNew York GiantsJan 21, 2026
“I do think that all of a sudden, the Giants could be a five hundred ish team next year”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 65-45 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- -45
- what happened:
- 4
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 65
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksNew England PatriotsJan 21, 2026
“I'll say twenty four twenty or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England, and I think ... so I will take New England minus the three”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 16-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsJan 21, 2026
“And I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams”
Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 47.69+23.74 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 23.74
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 71.43
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 15
- Trade and Signing CallsPhiladelphia EaglesJan 21, 2026
“my bet would be the Philadelphia Eagles a year from now ... my money would be that Mike Tomlin is going to be the coach of the Philadelphia Eagles in a year”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksJan 21, 2026
“And then I am taking the the Niners plus seven at Seattle. I also expect Seattle to win.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.