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Nick Wright· Jan 17, 2026

Nick Wright picked the Bills to beat the Broncos comfortably in Denver, 27-13, called it his favorite pick of the weekend, and also picked Seattle to beat San Francisco, New England to beat Houston, the Rams to blow out the Bears 42-27, and Miami to win the national championship game outright over Indiana.

Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen, and it's not some close classic.

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks and 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 73.8 out of 100, against 86.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat San Francisco

    And then I am taking the the Niners plus seven at Seattle. I also expect Seattle to win.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    6-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills 27 — Broncos 13

    This is my favorite pick of the weekend is the Bills plus one in Denver. Bills win this game twenty seven to thirteen, and it's not some close classic... That's my official prediction for how the Broncos season ends.

    Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 97.69-73.88 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    30-33
    skill:
    -73.88
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    23.81
    baseline:
    97.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    14

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to beat Houston

    I'll say twenty four twenty or twenty four to seventeen that range for New England... So I'll lay the three points with the Pats.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    16-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 42 — Bears 27

    But I think it ends for the Bears this weekend. And I think this is forty two to twenty seven Rams

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 47.69+23.74 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-17
    skill:
    23.74
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    47.69
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    15

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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