TJ Jefferson

TJ Jefferson is a voice on The Rich Eisen Show podcast, where he contributes to the show's NFL coverage across a wide range of formats — from power rankings and Super Bowl picks to sleeper team drafts and player movement speculation. His predictions span teams like the Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys, and Minnesota Vikings, with attention to players including Aaron Rodgers and Maxx Crosby.

Writes at The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)

Every take from TJ Jefferson, including the ones still waiting →

54.38%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-8.12

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

10

Graded calls

across 8 articles. 30 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 10

Jefferson picks Washington to win the NFC East with the Giants last, and takes the Chiefs to beat the Packers in Super Bowl 60.2 graded calls · Sep 4, 2025
- “I got the Giants fourth. I'm putting the Cowboys third. I got the Eagles at two, and I got the Washington football team winning this division.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  spearman
  season:
  2025
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  teams ranked:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?

Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

“They're gonna raise another banner and have another ring to the Chiefs Kingdom.”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill

How this was scored

skill:: 0
they picked:: KC
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 0
champion:: SEA
runner up:: NE
naive pick:: PHI
difficulty:: 2
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18

Think this grade is wrong?

Jefferson put the Bills atop the AFC East with the Jets fourth and Patriots third, leaving the Dolphins second.Sep 3, 2025

“I got the Jets coming in fourth. Brotman, I'm sorry. I got the Pats third... And then, of course, you know my guy, Josh Allen... So I got the Bills wrapped in this thing.”
Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 40+60 skill
How this was scored
skill:
60
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

TJ Jefferson picked the Lions to win the NFC North, with the Packers second, Vikings third and Bears fourth, and also raised his Cowboys win total prediction to 12-5.2 graded calls · Sep 3, 2025

“I got the bears fourth... I got the vikings finishing third... I'm gonna put the Packers in it too... I just don't see any reason not to believe that the Lions are gonna take this.”
Miss · 30Scored 30a naive guess scored 10+40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
30
baseline:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
“I might bump it up to twelve... and TJ's now twelve and five.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
naive:
7.75
skill:
-170
what happened:
7
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
85
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Jefferson picked Micah Parsons to out-sack any two Cowboys, and ordered the AFC West as Chiefs, Broncos, Chargers, Raiders, saying all four teams finish with winning records and three make the playoffs.Aug 29, 2025

“I don't mean any disrespect to Raider nation, but I got you guys coming in fourth... I got the chargers third, the broncos second... I'm sticking with the Chiefs.”
Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 60+20 skill
How this was scored
skill:
20
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
60
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Jefferson picked the NFC West as Rams first, 49ers second, Cardinals third, Seahawks fourth, and named seven Super Bowl contenders including the Rams and 49ers.Aug 28, 2025

“Just in my gut right now, Rams, Niners, Cardinals, Seahawks.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 90-100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
40
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Jefferson predicted the Buccaneers win the NFC South, with the Falcons second, Panthers third and Saints last.Aug 26, 2025

“we got the Saints. They're finishing last... I got the Panthers coming in third... they're not good enough to supplant the Falcons who I have in second... Bucks winning that division.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 90+20 skill
How this was scored
skill:
20
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

TJ Jefferson predicted the AFC North order of finish: Ravens first, Steelers second, Bengals third, Browns last, citing Cincinnati's defensive woes and the continuation of the Tomlin streak.Aug 25, 2025

“So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the rear there. TJ Jefferson's AFC North predictions for 2025”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?

Jefferson picked the Chiefs to beat the Eagles 34-32 on a late Mahomes touchdown drive, and named Hollywood Brown as Super Bowl MVP.Feb 7, 2025

Marquise Brown to win Super Bowl MVP
“Yes. My bad. Hollywood Brown. I did I had Mahomes' first, and then I changed my email.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Marquise Brown
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?