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TJ Jefferson· Aug 25, 2025

TJ Jefferson predicted the AFC North order of finish: Ravens first, Steelers second, Bengals third, Browns last, citing Cincinnati's defensive woes and the continuation of the Tomlin streak.

“So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the rear there.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 45 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    “And who's first? First? Yeah. Well, that would be the Baltimore Ravens.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsAug 25, 2025

    “So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the rear there. TJ Jefferson's AFC North predictions for 2025”

    Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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