TJ Jefferson picked the Lions to win the NFC North, with the Packers second, Vikings third and Bears fourth, and also raised his Cowboys win total prediction to 12-5.

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Power RankingsSep 3, 2025

  “I got the bears fourth... I got the vikings finishing third... I'm gonna put the Packers in it too... I just don't see any reason not to believe that the Lions are gonna take this.”

  Miss · 30Scored 30a naive guess scored 10+40 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  40

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  30

  baseline:

  10

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  4

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Season Win TotalsDallas CowboysSep 3, 2025

  Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins

  “I might bump it up to twelve... and TJ's now twelve and five.”

  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  DAL

  naive:

  7.75

  skill:

  -170

  what happened:

  7

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  5

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  85

  predicted:

  12

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Division WinnersDetroit LionsSep 3, 2025

  Detroit Lions to win the division

  “I just don't see any reason not to believe that the Lions are gonna take this.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?