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TJ Jefferson· Aug 26, 2025

Jefferson predicted the Buccaneers win the NFC South, with the Falcons second, Panthers third and Saints last.

“Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin, the defense, Bucks winning that division.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    “Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin, the defense, Bucks winning that division. This is my prediction.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no

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  • Power RankingsAug 26, 2025

    “we got the Saints. They're finishing last... I got the Panthers coming in third... they're not good enough to supplant the Falcons who I have in second... Bucks winning that division.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 90+20 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    20
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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